Felix Salmon

How Greece’s default could kill the sovereign CDS market

By Felix Salmon
February 29, 2012

Alea today posts the timeline for physical settlement of credit default swaps, once a credit event has been declared. He doesn’t say why he’s posting it, but the main thing to note is that it’s likely to take a couple of months between (a) the credit event being declared in Greece, and (b) the final settlement of all credit default swaps on Greece.

CDS demonization watch, central-clearing edition

By Felix Salmon
February 29, 2012

Peter Eavis is too smart, and knows too much, to be writing disingenuous stuff like this, about Greece’s credit default swaps:

Why Treasury is being so nice to AIG

By Felix Salmon
February 28, 2012

Andrew Ross Sorkin today asks why Treasury is letting AIG keep billions of dollars in net operating losses, rather than forcing it to pay income tax. I’ll hazard a guess at one part of the answer, as informed by my conversation with Jim Millstein in October 2010: if you want to have a high value for your insurance company, you want it to have a rock-solid credit rating. And so you boost the value of the equity cushion in the company by padding it with net operating loss carryovers and the like, even if that means you lose a certain amount of corporate income tax in the meantime.

Greece’s default gets messier

By Felix Salmon
February 28, 2012

Back on February 17, the European Central Bank sprinkled its magical pixie dust on its Greek sovereign bonds, with the effect that they effectively ended up exempt from the restructuring and haircut being inflicted on everybody else. I wasn’t very excited about this development at the time:

Why banks are reluctant to foreclose on expensive homes

By Felix Salmon
February 28, 2012

The WSJ has an interesting if unsurprising article today, showing that expensive homes are less likely to be foreclosed on than cheaper homes.

It’s time for OpenTable to think about diners

By Felix Salmon
February 28, 2012

I’m a big user of OpenTable — I’ve used it to reserve three lunches just this week, and I’d use it to book dinner on Wednesday, too, if it wasn’t for the fact that the restaurant I want to go to doesn’t take any reservations at all. I like its reliability: I’ve been using it for over a decade now (my first reservation, according to the site, was in June 2001), and so far I’ve never had a reservation be lost. OpenTable’s particularly good for business lunches with someone you’ve never met before: you just give the name on the reservation at the front desk, you’re shown to your table, and there’s none of that weird shuffling around trying to work out who it is you’re supposed to be meeting.

The relational aesthetics of Davos

By Felix Salmon
February 27, 2012

Nick Paumgarten was told repeatedly, both before and during his first trip to Davos, that he couldn’t possibly get it right after going only once. But he had to try, and he ended up delivering what might be the best description of Davos yet: accurate, well-written, keenly observed.

Why journalists need to link

By Felix Salmon
February 27, 2012

Jonathan Stray has a great essay up at Nieman Lab entitled “Why link out? Four journalistic purposes of the noble hyperlink”. I basically agree with all of it; links are wonderful things, and the more of them that we see in news stories — especially if they’re external rather than internal links — the better.

Chart of the day: Warren Buffett’s bolt-ons

By Felix Salmon
February 26, 2012

bolt.tiff

Reading Warren Buffett’s latest shareholder letter, I was struck by the number of times he talked about bolt-on acquisitions — situations where one of his subsidiary companies makes an acquisition of its own. They’re mentioned six times in this letter, and then at the end he mentions a “tuck-in” acquisition, which is essentially the same thing.