Counterparties: Central banks’ uncanny timing

July 5, 2012

Welcome to the Counterparties email. The sign-up page is here, it’s just a matter of checking a box if you’re already registered on the Reuters website. Send suggestions, story tips and complaints to

How’s this for uncanny timing? Central banks in Europe, the UK and China all decided to actually do something about the slowing global economy today. As the NYT notes, these moves somewhat magically happened in the span of an hour.

ECB President Mario Draghi denied any sort of central banking master plan: “On coordination, no, there wasn’t any”. Still, the European Central Bank cut rates to a historic low of 0.75% from 1%; China cut its main interest rate by 31 basis points, to 6%; and the Bank of England announced it would buy $78 billion worth of assets. (David Keohane has the respective releases here.)

The ECB’s move gathered the most attention, if only because Spanish and Italian bonds got trounced after Draghi’s speech announcing the rate move today. Economist Dario Perkins saw the ECB’s move as mostly about optics: “It appears some ECB members wanted this trivial move to be a reward for politicians ‘doing the right thing’ at their recent summit. If that’s the case, it’s a silly, highly political way to run monetary policy.” The WSJ‘s Charles Forelle summed it up this way:

@CharlesForelle: ECB summary: Plenty of monetary-policy easing, no hint of philosophical easing. The ball is still in Germany’s court

Sober Look notes that, at least from a balance-sheet perspective, the ECB’s approach has been shifting: In just over a year, the ECB’s lending to banks has doubled as a percentage of its balance sheet.

But the most pressing issue is that the ECB’s latest actions, which also included cutting the deposit rate to zero, are well short of what’s needed. Given the worries of a global manufacturing slowdown, central banks may quickly realize that Europe’s platitudes about growth pacts and a still quite undefined banking union are not enough. Here’s Nouriel Roubini:

@Nouriel: Trifecta today of monetary easing / policy rate cuts: PBOC, BOE & now ECB. A clear sign of how weak global growth is & how worried CBs are

– Ryan McCarthy

On to today’s links:

Bob Diamond says he felt “physically ill” after reading LIBOR-fixing emails – Guardian

Crisis Retro
The credit bubble, not the housing bubble, boosted GDP before the crisis – Tim Duy

The Good News
Healthcare spending is no longer growing like crazy (for now) – WSJ

Crisis Retro
Angelo’s many friends: Countrywide made hundreds of “VIP” loans to buy influence – House of Representatives

“Banks Prove That They Are Not Too Big To Fail By Saying ‘We Can Fail’ On A Piece Of Paper, Moving On” – Dealbreaker

Governance Lite
Silicon Valley, where “it is not the board’s role to offer counsel or advice” – DealBook

How Anonymous evolved into a leaderless “self-appointed immune system for the Internet” – Wired
Why the Stuxnet virus attack on Iran will come back to haunt the US government – NYT

Emerging Markets
Credit is easy to get…in Bangalore, from dentists – NYT

Get ready for a smaller, cheaper iPad in September – WSJ

WSJ editorial page: Romney campaign “looks confused in addition to being politically dumb” – WSJ

MF Doom
Jon Corzine reportedly “haggard and unfocused”, subsisting in some sort of Hamptons exile – NY Post

The origins of misbehavior (and not just at Barclays) – Stumbling and Mumbling
On “the handoff” from manufacturing to housing – Calculated Risk


Comments are closed.