Opinion

Felix Salmon

Counterparties: How to save, America

September 14, 2012

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Saving money — everyone hates it. Americans spent the period between the early 1980s and the financial crisis failing miserably at saving. In 1982 Americans saved 10.9% of their income; by 2005 the savings rate had fallen to just 1.6%.

Since the financial crisis, personal savings have rebounded, hovering between 3% and 5% ever since. But this relatively new boost in Americans’ savings, it turns out, is not equal opportunity. Nearly 30% of households don’t have access to a savings account, according to a FDIC report released this week. Another recent report suggests 28% of Americans have not saved anything at all.

The IMF has a new paper which looks at the relationship between income inequality and savings in America. (The gap between America’s rich and poor hit a 40-year high in 2011). “Lower income growth,” the authors write, “was linked to the drop in saving rates and growing indebtedness of American families”. The authors argue that without higher home prices or growing incomes, Americans are still not saving enough to fix their post-crisis financial situations.

Keyu Jin, who looks at the differences between Chinese and US savings patterns, finds big generational gaps in US savings: “the fall in savings in the US is largely due to higher borrowing by the young (rather than a fall in middle-aged Americans’ savings rate)”. Middle-aged Americans, Jin writes, actually increased their savings, relative to GDP, from 1992 to 2009.

If you’re worried that you’re not saving enough to keep up, the bad news is that you’re probably right. The rule of thumb says that you need to save at least eight times your final annual income to pay for retirement.

The good news, however, is that saving more is pretty much all you have to do. James Saft points to a new study by Putnam, which has an interesting conclusion: simply saving more and funneling it into your retirement account earned better returns than magically trying to pick the best funds or perfectly allocating your assets. — Ryan McCarthy

On to today’s links:

Innumeracy
Romney: “Middle income is $200,000 to $250,000 and less” - Fortune

Wonks
Meet the blogger/academic who may have just saved the American economy - Joe Weisenthal

Legitimately Good News
Banks are now showing a “growing eagerness to lend” to companies - WSJ
“Housing prices in Southern California are finding a bottom” - DeBord Report

The Fed
We’re either at an economic turning point, or reaching the end of central banks’ powers - Economist

Pre-Crisis
Greenspan on Fannie, Freddie in 2005: “The risk is not a credit risk” - WSJ

Financial Arcana
Now would be a really great time for banks to finally recognize their massive hidden losses - Jonathan Weil
The law that explains the folly of bank regulation - John Kay

Apple
“Last year it took 22 hours for iPhone pre-orders to stock out. This year it took less than an hour” - Fortune
Krugman: you’re probably an iPhone Keynesian and don’t know it - NYT

Oxpeckers
On the “intellectual pestilence” of Jonah Lehrer-ian neurobollocks books - New Statesman

EU Mess
Trichet: the eurozone is the epicenter of the “worst crisis since WWII” - CNBC

She Would Know
Sallie Krawcheck: bank complexity “makes you weep blood out of your eyes” - Dealbook

Comments
4 comments so far | RSS Comments RSS

“The rule of thumb says that you need to save at least eight times your final annual income to pay for retirement.”

the Fed cut off that thumb for a considerable length of time after the economic recovery strengthens

Posted by rjs0 | Report as abusive
 

Good post, Ryan … none better in this Friday Felix array. Next time the Big Guy decides to go fishing …. Just sayin’….

About this -

“Wonks
Meet the blogger/academic who may have just saved the American economy – Joe Weisenthal”

Even JoeW gets it wrong more than once in a while. Answer a question, if you would, for all of us -

‘If say in like 1955 every academic economist who wandered off his campus and into the sphere of IRL public policy-making had been immediately shot on sight, would we all be better off now than we are, or worse?’

OBTW: I have a client whose firm does web design; if your crew isn’t up to the task, maybe ….

Posted by MrRFox | Report as abusive
 

“Nearly 30% of households don’t have access to a savings account”

Don’t have access, or don’t have? Big difference.

(I skimmed the paper, but didn’t see this statistic.)

Posted by SteveHamlin | Report as abusive
 

@SteveH – according to a sort of reliable source, at yr-end ’11, 23.4% of US families had no savings at all.

http://www.usatoday.com/money/perfi/cred it/story/2012-05-11/american-families-de aling-with-debt/54946154/1

Posted by MrRFox | Report as abusive
 

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