Comments on: The seductive Warren Buffett http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/ A slice of lime in the soda Sun, 26 Oct 2014 19:05:02 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.5 By: donna cerca uomo Roma http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/comment-page-1/#comment-54694 Sun, 12 Oct 2014 21:10:41 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/?p=19688#comment-54694 This can be a really good read for me personally, Have to acknowledge that you’ll be among the best blog writers We previously observed. Thanks regarding putting up this informative article.

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By: sdunl http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/comment-page-1/#comment-45096 Sun, 09 Dec 2012 15:07:14 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/?p=19688#comment-45096 Salmon,

You should be teaching in college with all the other market efficent theorists. In response to your comment of …”Buffett had a good run, but at this point there’s really zero reason to believe that his kind of fundamentals-based value investing still gives anybody an edge”. You are right, 60 years is a good run.

I’m not sure where you grew up but some village is missy their idiot.

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By: TFF http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/comment-page-1/#comment-45022 Wed, 05 Dec 2012 14:25:12 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/?p=19688#comment-45022 May look at some of those ideas, y2kurtus, but not sure they are in my comfort zone. Staying in my comfort zone is more important at this point than returns.

But thanks!

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By: y2kurtus http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/comment-page-1/#comment-45014 Wed, 05 Dec 2012 03:43:37 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/?p=19688#comment-45014 @TFF, If you have after tax money to invest (most people don’t) then look at some of the higher yielding MLP’s like Linn energy (LINE). For Pre-tax money I’d check out Digital Realty Trust (DLR), they’re basically a data-center management company pretending to be a REIT. I bet they’ll grow pretty good and pay you while you watch!

If you can spend two hours a month looking at individually held investments, (which I think you do having read about a hundred of your well thought out posts), then I would consider playing with 25% of your life’s saving on an ultra diversified pool of binary outcome stocks. Put in the search terms “longtimefollower yahoo finance” in google and read everything that guy has ever posted. I’ve been looking at his stuff for several years now and his game (which I now actively try to emulate) is to buy companies which are often on the brink of death and usually trade for <$10/share.

About 45% the time you lose everything, 10% of the company somehow manages to limp along the razors edge between life and death for years(see RiteAid) and 45% of the time you make between 400 – 1000%. If you run the expected value using the low end of that range the returns are so high that any normal person would think them to be impossible to sustain.

Happy holidays!

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By: MiltonRecht http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/comment-page-1/#comment-45010 Tue, 04 Dec 2012 20:56:51 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/?p=19688#comment-45010 Buy and hold also minimizes taxes and Buffett is one of the kings of tax avoidance. Capital gains taxes create a “lock in” effect. The capital gains tax creates an incentive for investors such as Buffett to avoid selling lower return investments and reinvesting in higher return investments. Without a capital gains tax, it is unlikely Buffett would hold his investments as long as he does.

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By: absinthe http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/comment-page-1/#comment-45009 Tue, 04 Dec 2012 20:32:08 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/?p=19688#comment-45009 “[As] every personal-finance columnist will tell you … you will almost certainly buy and sell at the wrong time”

Nonsense. If it were true you could just observe dumb money and take the other side of the trade, and “almost certainly” make money. (And then lots of people would do that, the trade would either turn into a volatile mess or disappear entirely, etc.) That’s just pap the columnists toss out to make readers anxious enough to keep reading them.

The problems with personal finance and buying and selling at the wrong time have nothing to do with timing the market (profiting in expectation) and everything to do with having the right portfolio (staying balanced and maintaining a consistent risk profile). And as TFF points out, your personal finance implications over the years have exhibited exactly this disregard (“THINGS HAVE CHANGED! MODIFY YOUR PORTFOLIO!”). There have been some indications that portfolio theorists need to readjust their inputs, but nothing on the order of what you’ve suggested.

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By: OSusanna http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/2012/12/04/the-seductive-warren-buffett/comment-page-1/#comment-45008 Tue, 04 Dec 2012 20:07:11 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/felix-salmon/?p=19688#comment-45008 You recently labeled yourself as a “muni bond geek.” What do you think of Mr. Buffet’s investment in municipal bonds.

And, have you heard about longtime muni bond expert Dr. Philip Fischer’s white papers on eBooleant.com? I’d love to hear your thoughts on those. His forthcoming book, Investing in Municipal Bonds will be on shelves and Amazon from McGraw-Hill in early January.

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