From Reuters.com http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom Wed, 14 Oct 2015 17:06:03 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.5 Name that brew http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2015/10/14/name-that-brew/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2015/10/14/name-that-brew/#comments Wed, 14 Oct 2015 17:05:55 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=12274 The deal merging AB InBev and SAB Miller has delivered beer lovers the worst of acronym-heavy M&A. Once the big beer deal is wrapped up, the next challenge will be finding a name for the giant. Vote in our poll or submit your own idea to #namethatbrew.

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This is what the Russian air strikes in Syria look like from the ground http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2015/10/08/this-is-what-the-russian-air-strikes-in-syria-look-like-from-the-ground/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2015/10/08/this-is-what-the-russian-air-strikes-in-syria-look-like-from-the-ground/#comments Thu, 08 Oct 2015 15:16:40 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=12251 People inspect a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo's countryside, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

People inspect a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo’s countryside, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

Smoke rises after what activists said were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maaret al-Naaman town in Idlib province, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rises after what activists said were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maaret al-Naaman town in Idlib province, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A man comforts a woman whose relatives were killed, at a site hit by what activists were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A man comforts a woman whose relatives were killed, at a site hit by what activists were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

People inspect a site hit by what activists were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

People inspect a site hit by what activists were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Unexploded cluster bomblets are seen inside the remains of a cluster munition that activists say was fired by the Russian air force on Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Unexploded cluster bomblets are seen inside the remains of a cluster munition that activists say was fired by the Russian air force on Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Civil defense members carry an injured boy at a site hit by what activists said were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maaret al-Naaman town in Idlib province, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Civil defense members carry an injured boy at a site hit by what activists said were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maaret al-Naaman town in Idlib province, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Civil defense members and civilians search for survivors under the rubble of a site hit by what activists said were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maasran town, south of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Civil defense members and civilians search for survivors under the rubble of a site hit by what activists said were cluster bombs dropped by the Russian air force in Maasran town, south of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Warplanes which activists say belong to Russian forces fly in the sky over the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Warplanes which activists say belong to Russian forces fly in the sky over the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Airstrikes carried out by the Russia's air force in a mountainous area in Syria, in footage released September 30, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Airstrikes carried out by the Russia’s air force in a mountainous area in Syria, in footage released September 30, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Civil defense members mourn the death of their comrade, who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force, during his funeral at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Civil defense members mourn the death of their comrade, who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force, during his funeral at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Residents inspect near a hole in the ground at a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Residents inspect near a hole in the ground at a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says were military equipment warehouses near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria, October 4, 2015.  REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says were military equipment warehouses near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria, October 4, 2015.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Rebel fighters covered with dust walk near a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Rebel fighters covered with dust walk near a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Relatives and civil defense members mourn over the body of their comrade who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Relatives and civil defense members mourn over the body of their comrade who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A civil defense member tries to put out the flames on a burning military vehicle at a base controlled by rebel fighters from the Ahrar al-Sham Movement, that was targeted by what activists said were Russian airstrikes at Hass ancient cemeteries in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 1, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A civil defense member tries to put out the flames on a burning military vehicle at a base controlled by rebel fighters from the Ahrar al-Sham Movement, that was targeted by what activists said were Russian airstrikes at Hass ancient cemeteries in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 1, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says was a bomb factory in Maarat al-Numan, south of the town of Idlib, Syria,  October 3, 2015.   REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says was a bomb factory in Maarat al-Numan, south of the town of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A civil defense member gathers unexploded cluster bomblets that activists say were fired by the Russian air force at Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A civil defense member gathers unexploded cluster bomblets that activists say were fired by the Russian air force at Maasran town, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A man searches for belongings amidst rubble at a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo's countryside October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

A man searches for belongings amidst rubble at a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo’s countryside October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

Smoke rises after what activists said were Russian airstrikes in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rises after what activists said were Russian airstrikes in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Men on motorcycles inspect a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Men on motorcycles inspect a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A warplane which activists say belongs to the Russian forces flies in the sky over the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A warplane which activists say belongs to the Russian forces flies in the sky over the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by Russia's air force in Syria, October 5, 2015.  REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation/Handout via Reuters

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by Russia’s air force in Syria, October 5, 2015.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation/Handout via Reuters

A man inspects a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A man inspects a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A Russian warship firing a rocket in the Caspian Sea to strike targets associated with Islamic State and Al-Nusra, according to Interfax news agency. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian warship firing a rocket in the Caspian Sea to strike targets associated with Islamic State and Al-Nusra, according to Interfax news agency. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian military jet dropping bombs near Idlib in Syria, in footage released October 5, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian military jet dropping bombs near Idlib in Syria, in footage released October 5, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by Russia's air force in Syria, October 5, 2015.  REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation/Handout via Reuters

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by Russia’s air force in Syria, October 5, 2015.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation/Handout via Reuters

Technicians servicing a Russian Military jet in Syria, from footage released October 1, 2015, shows. REUTERS/Reuters TV/Pool

Technicians servicing a Russian Military jet in Syria, from footage released October 1, 2015, shows. REUTERS/Reuters TV/Pool

Airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on the Islamic State near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on the Islamic State near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian air force helicopter on the tarmac of Heymim air base near the Syrian port town of Latakia, October 6, 2015.  REUTERS/RURTR via Reuters TV

A Russian air force helicopter on the tarmac of Heymim air base near the Syrian port town of Latakia, October 6, 2015.
REUTERS/RURTR via Reuters TV

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Russia’s campaign in Syria http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2015/10/07/russias-campaign-in-syria/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2015/10/07/russias-campaign-in-syria/#comments Wed, 07 Oct 2015 18:57:32 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=12200 A civil defense member tries to put out the flames on a burning military vehicle at a base controlled by rebel fighters from the Ahrar al-Sham Movement, that was targeted by what activists said were Russian airstrikes at Hass ancient cemeteries in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 1, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A civil defense member tries to put out the flames on a burning military vehicle at a base controlled by rebel fighters from the Ahrar al-Sham Movement, that was targeted by what activists said were Russian airstrikes at Hass ancient cemeteries in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 1, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A Russian warship firing a rocket in the Caspian Sea to strike targets associated with Islamic State and Al-Nusra, according to Interfax news agency. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian warship firing a rocket in the Caspian Sea to strike targets associated with Islamic State and Al-Nusra, according to Interfax news agency. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian air force helicopter on the tarmac of Heymim air base near the Syrian port town of Latakia, October 6, 2015.  REUTERS/RURTR via Reuters TV

A Russian air force helicopter on the tarmac of Heymim air base near the Syrian port town of Latakia, October 6, 2015.
REUTERS/RURTR via Reuters TV

Fire trails are seen during clashes between forces loyal to Syria's President Bashar al-Assad and the Army of Islam fighters, on the eastern mountains of Qalamoun overlooking the town of Douma, eastern Ghouta in Damascus, October 1, 2015. REUTERS/Bassam Khabieh

Fire trails are seen during clashes between forces loyal to Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad and the Army of Islam fighters, on the eastern mountains of Qalamoun overlooking the town of Douma, eastern Ghouta in Damascus, October 1, 2015. REUTERS/Bassam Khabieh

People inspect a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo's countryside, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

People inspect a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo’s countryside, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

Airstrikes carried out by the Russia's air force in a mountainous area in Syria, in footage released September 30, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Airstrikes carried out by the Russia’s air force in a mountainous area in Syria, in footage released September 30, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian military jet dropping bombs near Idlib in Syria, in footage released October 5, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A Russian military jet dropping bombs near Idlib in Syria, in footage released October 5, 2015. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rises after what activists said were Russian airstrikes in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rises after what activists said were Russian airstrikes in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A pilot gestures from a Russian air force Su-25 military jet on the tarmac of Heymim air base in Syria. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A pilot gestures from a Russian air force Su-25 military jet on the tarmac of Heymim air base in Syria. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says was a bomb factory in Maarat al-Numan, south of the town of Idlib, Syria,  October 3, 2015.   REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says was a bomb factory in Maarat al-Numan, south of the town of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Warplanes which activists say belong to Russian forces fly in the sky over the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Warplanes which activists say belong to Russian forces fly in the sky over the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says were military equipment warehouses near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rising after airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on what Russia says were military equipment warehouses near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Civil defense members mourn the death of their comrade, who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force, during his funeral at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Civil defense members mourn the death of their comrade, who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force, during his funeral at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Technicians servicing a Russian Military jet in Syria, from footage released October 1, 2015, shows. REUTERS/Reuters TV/Pool

Technicians servicing a Russian Military jet in Syria, from footage released October 1, 2015, shows. REUTERS/Reuters TV/Pool

Rebel fighters covered with dust walk near a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Rebel fighters covered with dust walk near a site hit by what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rises from what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rises from what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Babila, in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Men stand along a crater caused by what activists said was a Russian air strike in Latamneh city, in the northern countryside of Hama, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

Men stand along a crater caused by what activists said was a Russian air strike in Latamneh city, in the northern countryside of Hama, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

Airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on the Islamic State near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria. REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force on the Islamic State near Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, Syria.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A still image shows what Russia's Defence Ministry says is the Islamic State forces' military vehicles near a mosque in a residential area in Syria, in footage released October 5, 2015.     REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

A still image shows what Russia’s Defence Ministry says is the Islamic State forces’ military vehicles near a mosque in a residential area in Syria, in footage released October 5, 2015.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Relatives and civil defense members mourn over the body of their comrade who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Relatives and civil defense members mourn over the body of their comrade who died during what activists said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force at Ehsim town in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 3, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Technicians gathered around a Russian air force Su-25 military jet on the tarmac of Heymim air base in Syria, October 5, 2015.  REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Technicians gathered around a Russian air force Su-25 military jet on the tarmac of Heymim air base in Syria, October 5, 2015.
REUTERS/Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Smoke rises after what activists said were Russian airstrikes in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

Smoke rises after what activists said were Russian airstrikes in the southern countryside of Idlib, Syria, October 2, 2015. REUTERS/Khalil Ashawi

A man searches for belongings amidst rubble at a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo's countryside October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

A man searches for belongings amidst rubble at a site hit by what residents said were airstrikes carried out by the Russian air force in the town of Darat Izza in Aleppo’s countryside October 7, 2015. REUTERS/Ammar Abdullah

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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GMF @HedgeWorld West, World Bank/IMF and Financial & Risk Summit Toronto 2014 http://blogs.reuters.com/global-markets-forum/2014/10/03/gmf-hedgeworld-west-world-bankimf-and-financial-risk-summit-toronto-2014/ http://blogs.reuters.com/global-markets-forum/2014/10/03/gmf-hedgeworld-west-world-bankimf-and-financial-risk-summit-toronto-2014/#comments Fri, 03 Oct 2014 21:12:56 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/global-markets-forum/?p=2218 (Updates with guest photos and new links).

Join our special coverage Oct. 6-10 in the Global Markets Forum as we hit the road, from the West Coast to Washington to the Great White North.

GMF will be live next week from the HedgeWorld West conference in Half Moon Bay, California, where we’ll be blogging insight from speakers including Peter Thiel, former San Francisco 49ers great Steve Young and other panelists' viewpoints on the most important investment themes, allocation strategies, reputation risk management ideas and more.

 

 

Eric Burl, COO, Man Investments USA

Eric Burl, COO, Man Investments USA

Our LiveChat guests at HedgeWorld West include Jay Gould, founder of the California Hedge Fund Association, on Monday; Rachel Minard, CEO of Minard Capital on Tuesday; and Eric Burl, COO of Man Investments, on Wednesday discussing the evolving global investor. If you have questions for them, be sure to join us in the GMF to post your questions and comment.

Follow GMF’s conference coverage and post questions live via our twitter feed @ReutersGMF as well, where we’ll post comments from other HedgeWorld panelists. They include: 

  • Peter Algert, Founder and CIO, Algert Global
  • Adrian Fairbourn, Managing Partner, Exception Capital
  • Nancy Davis, Founder & CIO, Quadratic Capital
  • R. Kipp deVeer, CEO, Ares Capital
  • Judy Posnikoff, Managing Partner, PAAMCO
  • Caroline Lovelace, Founding Partner, Pine Street Alternative Asset Management
  • Cleo Chang, Chief Investment Officer, Wilshire Funds Management
  • Brian Igoe, CIO, Rainin Group
  • Mark Guinney, Managing Partner, The Presidio Group

In a preview of the HedgeWorld West conference, Rachel Minard said what matters most to investors today is "not so much what something is

Rachel Minard, CEO of Minard Capital

Rachel Minard, CEO of Minard Capital

called but what is its behavior," she told the forum. "What investment instruments are being used -- what is the ROI relative to cost, liquidity, volatility, market exposure, price/rates and is this the most "efficient" method by which to achieve return. What's great from our perspective is the meritocracy of the business today -- the proof necessary to validate the effective and sustainable ROI of any fund or investment strategy."

Those topics, and more, will be on tap, as top global hedge fund managers and members of the California Hedge Fund Association gather this week. Meanwhile, the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group each year bring together central bankers, ministers of finance and development, private sector executives, civil society, and academics to discuss issues of global concern. The Reuters GMF editorial team will cover real-time interviews and blog throughout the event to highlight Reuters' best analysis and interviews. 

Thomas Caldwell, founder and chairman, Caldwell Securities

Thomas Caldwell, founder and chairman, Caldwell Securities

 

GMF also will kick off our Financial and Risk Summit in Toronto, starting on Monday, with a LiveChat with Thomas Caldwell, founder and chairman of Caldwell Securities on Canada and the global economy. The conference starts on Tuesday, with keynotes including Tom Kloet, TMX Group CEO; Luo Zhaohui, China's ambassador to Canada; Ron King, Scotiabank’s compliance head; and more to come.

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More volatility expected as Fed rate rise looms – Cumberland Advisors’ David Kotok http://blogs.reuters.com/global-markets-forum/2014/10/01/more-volatility-expected-as-fed-rate-rise-looms-cumberland-advisors-david-kotok/ http://blogs.reuters.com/global-markets-forum/2014/10/01/more-volatility-expected-as-fed-rate-rise-looms-cumberland-advisors-david-kotok/#comments Wed, 01 Oct 2014 17:54:58 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/global-markets-forum/?p=2191
David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors

David Kotok, Cumberland Advisors

A healthy dose of fear has re-entered financial markets in the final three months of the year. The Chicago Board Options Exchange VIX, a widely tracked measure of market volatility, rose to a two-month high on Wednesday.

Varying news reports offered threats from the Ebola virus and a stagnating European economy as tangential reasons. Perhaps another point is many investors view the U.S. Federal Reserve’s pending decision to raise interest rates as a rumbling train far off in the distance that they now hear headed their way. Closer to the horizon are headlines that can no longer lean on “Fed easing” to explain away rising asset prices and a rising stock market.

“We are in a new period of volatility and it's been developing for the last two or three months,” David Kotok, chairman and chief investment officer of investment advisory firm Cumberland Advisors told the Global Markets Forum on Wednesday. “When you suppress all interest rates to zero you dampen volatility and you distort asset pricing. Now the outlook for interest rates is changing so we are restoring volatility.”

The changes, he said, are evident in a rising U.S. dollar, falling commodity prices and the spread between the high yield and U.S. bond markets.

“These are examples of how things change when you return to more normal volatility and extract and stop monetary stimulus,” Kotok said.

Kotok, GMF moderator Jeanine Prezioso and Reuters Fed reporter Jonathan Spicer chat about bull and bear markets

Kotok, GMF moderator Jeanine Prezioso and Reuters Fed reporter Jonathan Spicer chat about bull and bear markets

Now comes a waiting game and a test of investors’ mettle to sift through the weeds as Fed policy moves closer to no longer supporting stock prices. The best stock pickers will resign themselves to flushing out those hit by a stronger dollar, those with exposure to commodities, as one example. The result of a stronger dollar on corporate earnings begin to show when companies report third quarter earnings, but more so in end-of-year earnings, Kotok said.

“We expect some downward guidance from companies that are seriously impacted by changes in the currency markets,” he told the GMF.

Kotok’s Cumberland has positioned itself in large cap stocks, which he says in his new book From Bear to Bull with ETFs  investors should seek out during bear markets while investing in small cap stocks in a bull run. The small cap Russell 2000 Index hit a five-month low on Wednesday.

Kotok in the Global Markets Forum

Kotok in the Global Markets Forum

“I am overweight large caps in my managed portfolios right now.”  Kotok said. “We are underweight small and midcaps, we have been for awhile. I have no way to know if we are in a corrective phase or if the bull market ended. But it's apparent that we have one of the two underway.”

Among other trades, Kotok looks at the VIX every day as well as the quarterly release of estimates of future interest rates assembled by the members of the Federal Open Market Committee.

“Look at the option markets which show the price of real money bets on the future of interest rates. They tell you every minute of every day what sophisticated investors collectively think an interest rate will be and when it will be there. That is a high frequency indicator that deserves continuous attention.”

Click here for the full transcript from the GMF interview: RTRS_David_Kotok_01102014

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Malcolm Gladwell denies Lehrer plagiarized him http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2012/06/21/malcolm-gladwell-denies-lehrer-plagiarized-him/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2012/06/21/malcolm-gladwell-denies-lehrer-plagiarized-him/#comments Thu, 21 Jun 2012 18:46:08 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=11913 On Tuesday Jim Romenesko ran a post on his blog that showed how Jonah Lehrer, the New Yorker’s new staff writer, had copied sections of his previous writing and repurposed them for his recent NewYorker.com pieces, verbatim. Bloggers quickly found more instances, including one in which Lehrer appeared not to copy himself, but Malcom Gladwell, another New Yorker staff writer. Gladwell and Lehrer both use the same quote from William Goldman’s book, Adventures in the Screen Trade, and introduce the quote with the same language.

In a recent Reuters column, Jack Shafer mentioned that allegation. Gladwell, in the comments section, offered his response to the allegation:

In 2006, I quoted a line from William Goldman about how no one knows anything in Hollywood. In Imagine, Jonah Lehrer quotes the same line. This is not surprising, since Goldman’s comment is one of the most famous things ever written about Hollywood and has been quoted, by journalists, probably hundreds of times since it was written. If Lehrer is plagiarizing me, by quoting the same quote I quoted, then I am plagiarizing the person who used that quote before me, and that person is plagiarizing the person who quoted it before them, and so on and so forth, and we have a daisy chain of “plagiarizing” going back forty years and plagiarism, as a ethical concept, has ceased to mean anything at all.

By the way, if I run across the same absurd allegation anywhere else, I intend to reproduce my comment verbatim. Why? Because I thought about what I wanted to say, I’m comfortable with the way I said it, and I see no reason to tinker with my own language for the sake of tinkering with my own language.

Does Gladwell have a point? In a journalistic era where many writers augment their income with speaking gigs, are writers more responsible for ideas than the exact words that articulate them?

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On the front line with female war reporters http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2012/03/08/on-the-front-line-with-female-war-reporters/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2012/03/08/on-the-front-line-with-female-war-reporters/#comments Thu, 08 Mar 2012 14:31:37 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=11899 Female war correspondents are no longer a novelty. The legendary 20th century author and journalist Martha Gellhorn broke that mold around 80 years ago, and in recent times many of our most accomplished journalists and chroniclers of war zones — among them CNN’s Christiane Amanpour, the BBC’s formidable Kate Adie, Alex Crawford from Sky News and others — just happened to be women.

Male news executives like to think we have become more enlightened over the years as we made decisions about who should cover wars and who was not suited and should stay at home.

As I made judgments, as head of Newsgathering at the BBC and then president and managing director of CNN International, about whom to assign to the hellholes around the globe, the gender of a war correspondent was always under the surface. Was the story suitable for a woman? Would she prove a distraction? Was her hair too long or too blonde? Did her flak jacket fit? Crucially: Was she at greater risk of harassment, sexual assault and rape than her male colleagues?

My fears went mostly unspoken — particularly as most of the women working for me were too feisty to be challenged!

Last month’s apparently targeted death in Syria of veteran war correspondent Marie Colvin of Britain’s Sunday Times was a tragic reminder that our female colleagues share the risks with many in this profession. Another searing example of the very special risks that women face came in February last year in Cairo with the appalling sexual attack on Lara Logan from CBS News. This week she describes that attack in a new book from the International News Safety Institute, No Woman’s Land: On the Frontlines with Female Reporters. She joins 40 other media women in graphically describing the special additional risks they’ve faced over the years — and they offer their advice on how to prepare for that and how to continue to do their jobs.

Lara Logan’s account of her ordeal at the hands of “300 baying men” tackles for probably the first time the taboo subject of what can happen to female journalists just about anywhere, but more so in the middle of a frenzied mob as law and order breaks down.

“I remember begging for my life,” she says. “I remember giving up. I remember fighting back. I remember accepting my death. And I remember clearly, making a decision to go down fighting with my last breath.”

Another distinguished female war correspondent, the BBC’s Lyse Doucet, believes that in most places she works, Western women are regarded almost as a “third gender,” not like men, not like local women. In traditional societies particularly they are granted the special privileges given to guests and accorded the protection women are believed to need — as happened with the many Egyptian men in Cairo who linked their arms and escorted Doucet through rowdy crowds. That was in sharp contrast to what happened to Lara Logan in the same city around the same time.

Logan writes in the book about the “ancient tactic of terrifying people into submission or silence … [though] I do not believe it should stop or deter women from doing this kind of work.”

She reminds us that “sexual violence — rape — is a unique, humiliating weapon. It is used to great effect against both men and women.”

This book is the first that addresses the welfare of media women who work in hostile zones and is a powerful story about journalistic passion and the extra dangers that women are prepared to face.

It is also a strident reminder that female journalists have a different take on war and conflict. Unlike many of their male counterparts, they are unimpressed by the whiz-bang of war, the so-called precision weapons. They know far too well that “collateral damage” means men, women and frequently children. I believe that understanding makes them better journalists.

PHOTO: Journalist Marie Colvin poses for a photograph with Libyan rebels (unseen) in Misrata, June 4, 2011. REUTERS/Zohra Bensemra

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FOMC statement word cloud http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2011/11/02/fomc-statement-word-cloud/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2011/11/02/fomc-statement-word-cloud/#comments Wed, 02 Nov 2011 17:52:50 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=11878 FOMC statement word cloud

Credit: REUTERS/Stephen Culp

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The euro zone deal diagram http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2011/10/27/the-euro-zone-deal-diagram/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2011/10/27/the-euro-zone-deal-diagram/#comments Thu, 27 Oct 2011 15:14:38 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=11866 A diagram of “the euro zone rescue deal” shared by an unidentified adviser with one of the EU governments involved in the negotiations.

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A belated disclosure http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2011/09/16/a-belated-disclosure/ http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/2011/09/16/a-belated-disclosure/#comments Fri, 16 Sep 2011 21:36:29 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/from-reuterscom/?p=11862 On August 22, Reuters.com published a video entitled “Twitter through the eye of an artist,” a profile of the New York-based artist Michelle Vaughn. Vaughn is married to Reuters blogger Felix Salmon; although Salmon played no role in producing the video, that relationship should have been disclosed in the video. Reuters apologizes for the omission.

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