Reuters Blogs

From Reuters.com

September 22nd, 2008

Peering into the future

Posted by: Richard Baum

Talk show host Tyra Banks gives a crystal ball to Barack Obama.  REUTERS/Jason Kempin/Warner Bros/Handout

Part of our mission at Reuters.com is to help our readers anticipate what’s around the corner. We do that through expert analysis of complex stories, factboxes laying out possible scenarios for milestone events and insight from columnists such as James Saft.

Now we’re trying out a new tool to help our readers figure out what’s next, and have some fun along the way. It’s a tie-up between our Reuters Lab team and Hubdub, a news prediction site where users compete at predicting the outcomes of   news stories. Hubdub is an example of a news prediction market that quotes prices for the likelihood of an event occurring. You’ll find some links to the theory behind such markets on the Hubdub FAQ . We’re not making any claims for the accuracy of these markets, but we think our readers will find Hubdub an interesting way to participate in the analysis of news events.

You’ll find Hubdub questions from Reuters sprinkled throughout our blogs in the form of the live graphs show below and on the Reuters page on Hubdub. If you sign up for a Hubdub account, send us a friend invite and we’ll let you know whenever we post a new question.

Who will use the word “regulation” most in the first presidential debate?

Will the National Bureau of Economic Research announce in 2008 that the U.S. is in recession?

Will the U.S. unemployment rate rise in September from August’s 6.1 percent?

Photo: Talk show host Tyra Banks offers Barack Obama a crystal ball during a taping of “The Tyra Banks Show” shown October 1, 2007. REUTERS/Jason Kempin/Warner Bros/Handout