Money managers under the microscope
from Reuters Money:
Some time in the future the price of gold will crash and it won't have a fairy-tale ending for the millions of investors who piled on in recent months.
If I could tell you when gold was going to bust, I'd likely be wrong or bigger than Warren Buffett, so I won't even try. Just be incredibly cautious now. There are too many signs that gold is frothier than a Starbucks cappuccino.
It's not that I don't nod in agreement when gold bugs rant about why their metal holds a special value now. The dollar is in deep trouble as the U.S. sinks deeper into debt. Will Portugal and Spain be the next Ireland on the bailout boulevard? Ben Bernanke may not be able to put a dent in U.S. unemployment or the intractable housing crisis.
And yes, I also know the argument on how gold is nowhere near its inflation-adjusted equivalent of its high in January, 1980. According to the Leuthold Group, gold will have to hit $2,400 an ounce to match the $850 high mark it hit in 1980 in real terms. That doesn't mean it will, of course.