Opinion

George Chen

Japan, Australia, if not China?

George Chen
May 17, 2011 02:59 UTC

By George Chen
The opinions expressed are the author’s own.

I am hearing more complaints these days from trader friends about how boring the market is these days. Why boring?

Trading volume is low and there are apparently more risks than opportunities as investors seek clear signals about the central bank’s monetary policy direction and about what global funds think of China for the second half of the year.

With investors uncertain about the outlook for the Shanghai and Hong Kong stock markets, some are beginning to rethink their positions on Japan. Concerns about radiation are easing and I hear more people talking about the big potential for Japan’s market and economy to rebound amid massive reconstruction there. An old and new question then arises: can we bet on the Nikkei, again?

Australia also looks like a good bet to some rich Chinese investors. They say the property market alongside the long beaches in Australia offers profit-taking opportunities over the next few years.

Remember my recent column about many rich Chinese trying to emigrate in the next few years? Australia is always a popular destination. A number of local media reports also indicated some family members of top Chinese leaders already bought nice villas in the resource-rich country whose diplomatic relations with China have been up and down in recent years.

Firing and hiring

George Chen
Apr 1, 2011 02:39 UTC

GS

By George Chen
The opinions expressed are the author’s own.

Today is April Fools’ Day, a rare opportunity to make fun of friends and colleagues with pranks and practical jokes. Ever ahead of the game, Goldman Sachs produced an amusing mistake yesterday making it look more than a little foolish, as many investors and rival bankers may attest.

The bank’s Asia structured products unit said yesterday that trading in four index warrants it issued in relation to the Nikkei 225 was abruptly suspended in Hong Kong because of errors in supplemental listing documents. The formula of “cash settlement amount per board lot” for the warrants was misstated, Goldman Sachs Structured Products (Asia) Ltd said in a filing with the Hong Kong stock exchange. Click here to read the Goldman Sachs statement (PDF).

Before being suspended, the warrants surged by between 130 and 1,077 percent on Thursday morning, which local media reported could cost the bank millions of dollars.

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