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November 4th, 2009

The Berlin Wall 2.0

Posted by: Reuters Staff

The Berlin Wall fell 20 years ago on Nov. 9, 1989. A team of Reuters correspondents and multimedia journalists from Berlin and London will be covering the major event in a completely new way — Berlin Wall 2.0. The team from The Berlin Project are joining forces with the Reuters text, pictures and TV correspondents in Berlin to present real-time coverage and impressions of everything going on in Germany’s reunited capital city.

You can also view the best of Reuters’ content on our Berlin Wall global coverage page, follow the team in Berlin on Facebook and get a behind the scenes look at Berlin 2.0 by visiting The Berlin Project. Please send us your thoughts and memories by commenting on the live blog below.

October 9th, 2009

Does Obama deserve the Nobel Peace Prize?

Posted by: Ross Chainey

U.S. President Barack Obama has won the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize. The Norwegian Nobel Committee said Obama had been awarded the prize for his calls to reduce the world’s stockpiles of nuclear weapons and work towards restarting the stalled Middle East peace process.

The committee praised Obama for “his extraordinary efforts to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples.”

“Very rarely has a person to the same extent as Obama captured the world’s attention and given its people hope for a better future.”

The laureate wins a gold medal, a diploma and 10 million Swedish crowns (1.4 million dollars or 878,000 pounds).

Obama was one of a record 205 nominees for this year’s prize and the decision has come as a surprise to many. Zimbabwe’s Prime Minister, Morgan Tsvangirai, had been tipped as one of the favourites.

Despite his ambitious international agenda, Obama is yet to make a significant breakthrough in the Middle East or effectively deal with the threat of Iran’s nuclear programme and his country is currently fighting wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

Has Obama done enough to justify winning the Nobel Peace Prize? If not, who do you think should have won?

September 28th, 2009

Germany’s Greens celebrate victory in defeat

Posted by: Sarah Marsh

Sunday’s federal election threw Germany’s Greens into a state of disarray — should they celebrate their best result ever or mourn the fact they failed to prevent a centre-right coalition and languished in fifth place?

“A Victory that is a Defeat”, “Triumph and Bitterness”, “Celebrations despite missing goal,” read newspaper headlines on Monday.

(Photo: Kuenast and Trittin, top candidates of the Greens party, arrive on stage after the general election, Sept 27, Reuters/Ralph Orlowski)

The Greens, one of the world’s most successful environmental parties, won more than a tenth of the vote — not bad for a party whose members entered parliament as revolutionary rebels in the 1980s flourishing potted plants and sporting woolly jumpers.

“We feel strengthened in our fight for ecological modernisation, social justice and civil rights by the best result we have ever had,” co-leader Juergen Trittin told hundreds of party faithful on Sunday evening at the Greens headquarters in Berlin.

But a German colleague who attended the event, Hans-Edzard Busemann, told me the ambiance was confused rather than euphoric, and faces fell when they saw the results for the first time.

No wonder. The Greens were hoping to be the third strongest party at the elections and kingmakers in governemnt coalition talks — a goal they missed by a long stretch, trailing behind their nemesis the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP) on 14.6 percent and the far-left Linke on 11.9 percent.

They campaigned hard to prevent a centre-right coalition of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives with the pro-business Free Democrats — and failed.

Such a coalition is likely to undo much of the work that the Greens, who emerged from the anti-nuclear and peace movememnts of the 1970s, carried out while ruling with the Social Democrats from 1998 to 2005.

For a start, it will probably rewrite a national nuclear phaseout deal by allowing reactors to run longer than the previously agreed 2020 deadline. (Click here to see a story that a colleague in Frankfurt, Vera Eckert, wrote about this earlier today)

It will also likely change or drop the generous feed-in law for renewable energies introduced by the Greens and SPD, a prospect which sent shares in highly subsidised solar firms such as Q-Cells and Solarworld sliding on Monday.

(Photo: Supporters of the Green party react after the first exit polls, Sept 27, Reuters/Ralph Orlowski)

And as if all that that weren’t enough, Greens co-leader Cem Oezdemir — the only member of an ethnic minority to have ever headed a German party — failed to win a seat a parliament despite securing 30 percent of the vote in his constituency in Stuttgart.

So despite their best election result ever, the Greens may not be able to avoid some soul-searching over the coming weeks and months.

Some political analysts argue very little has changed in their manifesto over the past four years and the party executive, with the exception of Oezdemir, is still the same. Will Sunday’s result prompt a Greens renewal?

September 25th, 2009

German election live blog

Posted by: Erik Kirschbaum

Welcome to the live blog of the German election, a showdown between Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier (left) and Chancellor Angela Merkel (right). More than 50 Reuters correspondents, photographers and television crews in Berlin and across Germany will be tracking the story throughout the weekend.

And in this box you will be able to follow the latest twists and turns throughout the weekend. We’re using #germanelection as the hashtag if you want to follow us on Twitter.

Here is a glimpse of the Reuters office in Berlin that will be delivering the story to Germany and the world.

September 24th, 2009

Flashmobs target Merkel at final election rallies

Posted by: Madeline Chambers

Getting pelted by eggs or tomatoes is an occupational hazard for most hardened politicians on the election trail.

But German Chancellor Angela Merkel, seeking re-election on Sunday, has been confronted with a new kind of protest during her final campaign rallies: flashmobs.

The mobs, groups of people summoned over the Internet to show up at a specific time and place to do something unusual, have materialised at several election events in the last week to wave flags and banners and heckle the unsuspecting Merkel.

Mostly, they have been chanting “Yeahhhh!” after every sentence she utters and the slogan is meant as an ironic expression of support.

It may not sound like the most damaging critique, but Merkel has cottoned on to the flashmobs and now even addresses them at the rallies as “My young friends from the Internet”.

So is this a new form of political protest or just a bit of fun?

Blogger Rene Walter, who writes for nerdcore, says there is a serious idea behind the light-hearted gatherings.

“We are not just going to swallow the election messages, we are spitting back the rubbish Merkel speaks in the ironic form of a “Yeahhh!”, he says in the Sueddeutsche Zeitung daily.

Many involved in the flashmobs support the Pirate Party, who are popular among young voters and oppose what they say is censorship of the Internet that has been brought in under Merkel’s government.

One thing is for sure. Flashmobs are injecting some much-needed spontaneity into the final days of a campaign which many voters think has been the most turgid in decades.

But are flashmobs here to stay? Could they become the political protest movement of the Internet age?

September 24th, 2009

A reminder that Greece was not always democratic

Posted by: Jeremy Gaunt

Visitors to Greece’s capital these days cannot escape the fact that a general election is on he way.  But it is not just the constant discussion on television and the excited newspaper headlines about a U.S.-style debate between front runners that lets you know.

Peppered across the city are political stalls, open for the public to come in and be persuaded to vote on Oct. 4 for whichever party is hosting them. The style ranges from a bench and chairs manned by two ageing communists in the northern suburbs to a rather slick structure in Athen’s central Syndagma Square touting the worth  of the ruling conservative New Democracy party. For some reason the latter was blaring out The Clash’s “Rocking the Casbah” on a recent sunny morning.

It is all very frothy and something of a celebration of democracy in the city which, after all, invented it.

Which is why a quieter, almost unnoticed gallery on the corner of Syndagma is offering something all the more poignant — a reminder that it was not that long ago that such expressions of democracy would be met with batons, water cannons and even tanks.

“Mikis Theodorakis: The Composer - The Politician - The Thinker” is a temporary exhibition funded by the Greek parliament to honour one of the country’s greatest living artists and an icon of left-wing resistance.

Best known to the world at large for composing the music for Michael Cacoyannis’ 1960s film “Zorba the Greek” — now almost a Greek anthem — Theodorakis has a huge and respected body of work covering some 60 years, from operas to song cycles, ballets and symphonies. Among his film themes are those for Sidney Lumet’s “Serpico” and Costa-Gavras’ “State of Siege”.

These are all celebrated with due reverence at the exhibition, including displays of many strangely ancient-looking  record album covers. But in the current political climate, it is the politics which catches the eye.

Various phases of Theodorakis’ life are highlighted — from wounded resitance fighter in the Second World War to internal exile in the Greek Civil War that raged until 1949. His music was banned and the composer himself arrested during the brutal military junta that ruled Greece from 1967 to 1974. But his escape to Paris in 1970 combined with his music and imposing presence to set him up as a voice for democracy’s return.

A particulary historic photograph for the period shows Theodorakis embracing Mercedes Sosa, the Argentine singer who had similar struggles with her own country’s junta. 

It is all puts “Rocking the Casbah” into context as Greeks ready themselves for a simple excercise in democracy.

(Photo: Jeremy Gaunt)

September 11th, 2009

Germany’s Greens trade in woolly sweaters for business suits

Posted by: Sarah Marsh

Having traded in their woolly sweaters, jeans and sandals for dapper suits and shiny shoes, Germany’s Greens are ready for business, claiming that to be the “party that truly knows its economics”.

The world’s most successful environmental party is eager to get back into power at the federal election on Sept. 27 after a first stint in coalition with the Social Democrats (SPD) from 1998 to 2005.

(Photo: Leaders of Germany’s Greens party address a news conference in Berlin, April 20, 2009, Reuters/Tobias Schwarz)

The Greens hope that by developing a plan for economic growth, rather than just focussing on the ecology, they will broaden their appeal for voters.

“We are the party that truly knows its economics,” said Renate Kuenast, one of the party’s leading politicians, at a campaign rally in Stuttgart. “We are the party which brings together economics and the environment, as the environment has so much to offer to the economy.”

The concept is a enticing one, but I spoke with a couple of political analysts who were sceptical about the Greens’ new tack. “The Greens have attempted to add new competences beyond ecology to their electoral program, notably social and economic policy,” said Gero Neugebauer, political scientist at Berlin’s Free University.

“But this is only theoretical because they haven’t been able to prove them anywhere.”

Still, recent flagship projects — such as a 400 billion euro plan by a consortium of finance and industrial firms mostly from Germany to power Europe with sunlight — have reduced the perception that Green ideas are at odds with business interests, or pie in the sky.

Moreover, the perception that the global economic crisis is the result of the pursuit of short-term profit could work in the Greens’ favour, as they campaign for more sustainable economic growth.

(Photo: Workers build a thermo-solar power plant in Beni Mathar, August 20, 2009, Reuters/Rafael Marchante)

“Green policies are the only way out of the crisis,” read campaign posters plastered on billboards throughout Germany, which is slowly emerging from its deepest post-war recession.

I had the chance to speak with Cem Oezdemir, the new face of the Greens, having a break by the bar before taking to the stage and holding a speech before hundreds of supporters.

“Environmental policies create jobs, they don’t threaten them,” said Oezdemir, looking trendy and business-like, with his trademark sideburns and dark, tailored suit.

In their election manifesto, the Greens have promised the creation of one million jobs including 400,000 in renewable energy and other areas of environmental protection such as ecological agriculture.

They say there is a need to foster economic sustainability and innovation rather than plough money into the auto sector, for example, which is churning out gas-guzzling cars that nobody wants.

 Ultimately though, developing environmentally friendly alternative technologies takes time. So, the question remains whether voters are willing to look beyond their short-term interests towards a more sustainable, Green future? And are Green policies truly compatible with business interests?

September 8th, 2009

What the election campaign says about Germans

Posted by: Madeline Chambers

Strikingly different election campaign styles in Germany and Britain, especially parties’ contrasting use of the media, provide some intriguing insights into the political traditions of the two nations.

in Britain, the parties hold daily news conferences, broadcast live, where leaders attempt to set an agenda for the day — be it on health, tax or education — and then get grilled by the press corps.

In Germany there is no equivalent. In fact, there are not even regular weekly news conferences with conservative Chancellor Angela Merkel and her Social Democrat (SPD) rival Frank-Walter Steinmeier

Instead, they seek direct contact with voters by holding speeches in town squares and, especially in the southern state of Bavaria, beer tents.

The challengers are not interested in playing to the media because the election does not dominate the German headlines as much as it does in Britain.

One reason for the particularly strong contrast this year is the duo fighting the German election. Merkel and Steinmeier are shying away from personal attacks as they know they may have to share power again after the Sept. 27 vote.

And few dispute that either challenger competes with former British Prime Minister Tony Blair or opposition leader David Cameron – let alone U.S. President Barack Obama — on charisma.

Indeed, former SPD Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder’s media instincts — on display in the 2002 campaign when he waded through flooded areas in wellington boots — stood out because they were an exception.

But the differerences run deeper than individuals.

The national media plays a far bigger role for British politicians. Clinching the backing of The Sun tabloid was a pivotal moment for Blair before his 1997 landslide.

In this environment, pictures and soundbites become all-important for politicians to get their message across.

An enduring image of 2005’s UK election was when Blair bought his arch-rival Gordon Brown an ice cream in a show of unity designed to shake off rumours the two were not speaking.

In Germany, the regionally fragmented newspaper landscape means no single headline carries as much weight.

In addition, the overall relationship between politicians and media is very different.

Germany’s top politicians are never subjected to the aggressive, at times irreverent, probing British politicans get from BBC interviewers John Humphrys or Jeremy Paxman

Although German reporters do not stand up when Merkel enters the room, as their U.S. counterparts do for the President, there is a high degree of respect discernible among Berlin’s political hacks who tend to ask thoughtful, serious questions rather than try to catch out their subjects.

So what does this reflect?

Germany’s relatively short tradition of parliamentary democracy, compared to that of Britain, France and the United States, has — some commentators argue — nurtured a greater deference to authority than in Britain.

Germany adopted a political system after World War Two carefully designed to avoid the weaknesses of the Weimar Republic — a fragmented system that had enabled Hitler’s rise to power.

Today’s system makes for stable but moderate coalition governments which cannot implement radical reforms in the tradition of, say Britain’s Margaret Thatcher, say analysts.

A series of checks and balances and the distribution of power to the 16 federal states limit politicians in what they can do.

Some commentators argue an unforgiving British media does the job the country’s political system fails to do.

For example, it is almost unthinkable that a German reporter would pose the question: “Do you have blood on your hands?” as a British reporter asked Blair after the death of David Kelly, a government weapons expert who was found dead after being linked to a BBC report stating the government had exaggerated the case for going to war in Iraq.

The political setup suits Germans who these days prefer incremental change and predictable politicians to charismatic leaders with radical ideas, say political scientists, who argue the many merits of the German structure.

But are the benefits of the German system a recipe for a turgid election campaign?

August 30th, 2009

German state elections: Live

Posted by: Erik Kirschbaum

10 p.m. - So it’s a black eye for Merkel and her conservative party four weeks before the federal election with the likely loss of power in two of three states that went to the polls on Sunday. But will it make a difference for the federal election on Sept. 27? Will Steinmeier’s SPD, now in the driver’s seat to win state offices from the CDU for the first time since 2001, be able to take advantage of the momentum? Will the CDU start to get nervous again after squandering big leads in last month of the 2002 and 2005 federal elections? September could be an exciting month in Germany.

 

9:50 p.m.  Bild newspaper’s Nikolaus Blome writes in a column for Monday’s early editions: “It was an earthquake kicking off the hot phase of the national campaign…The CDU has been spoiled by its past success but now has it in writing that the Sept. 27 election is far from decided.”

 

9:10 p.m. - Here is a video clip of Steinmeier savouring the SPD’s likely move into power in two of the three states that voted on Sunday. It’s been a l-o-n-g time since anyone in Germany has seen the SPD celebrating. Merkel kept a low profile on Sunday evening. No one saw or heard from her.

 

8:10 p.m. - Here’s another way to tell the winners from the losers. Peter Mueller (on the left), who will likely lose his job as state premier of Saarland, was asked in an ARD TV interview just now what his party leader, Chancellor Angela Merkel, might have told him to try to cheer him up in the two hours since the disappointing results for the CDU were published. “She hasn’t called me,” Mueller said, sounding lonely in his defeat. His SPD rival Heiko Maas (right) was then asked if SPD chancellor candidate Frank-Walter Steinmeier had been in touch: “Yes, he and (SPD chairman Franz) Muentefering both called and said they were delighted and said it’s a great signal for the federal election.”

 

8:00 p.m. - German ARD’s flagship network newscast at 8 p.m. leads off with anchorwoman Ellen Arnold saying: “In two of three state elections on Sunday there was a considerable shift in the balance of power. A change in government from conservatives to a coalition of the SPD and Left party is possible in Saarland and Thuringia. In contrast to that a CDU-FDP government is possible in Saxony.” The ARD Tagesschau is the most-watched news show in Germany with 6 to 10 million viewers

 

7:45 p.m. - Here’s the latest Reuters story on the election

 

7:30 p.m. - The dust is starting to settle. I asked Noah Barkin, who has been writing the Reuters stories on this election all weekend, what Sunday’s results mean for next month’s federal election: “Merkel has looked untouchable for months and she still seems on track to win a second term next month. But this gives her Social Democrat opponents a glimmer of hope. It will be tough, but if they can build on this result and raise concerns in the CDU camp over the final weeks of the campaign, the experts we’ve been talking to believe a momentum shift is possible. Merkel needs to hold her lead to get the centre-right coalition with the Free Democrats that she failed to secure four years ago. The questions about whether she can do that have probably risen after these votes.”

 

6:45 p.m. - It didn’t take long for Steinmeier to pop up at an ebullient SPD party headquarters in Berlin to claim victory. He says: “This is a good election for the SPD. The CDU suffered dramatic losses. One thing is clear now: Germany does not want a CDU-FDP coalition.” Steinmeier said the elections were a signal for the federal election: “I’ve been reading that some people think the federal election has already been decided. This election today show how wrong they are. The same thing happened in 2002 and 2005 — the CDU and FDP started divvying up the government jobs in the summer before the election but the result ended up being a lot different than they expected. And I promise you that will be the same again in 2009.”

 

6:40 p.m. - Here’s the updated report from my colleague Noah Barkin

 

6:30 p.m. - Ronald Pofalla, Merkel’s right-hand man in the CDU, steps up to the podium at CDU party headquarters in Berlin. Predictably, he tries to put a positive spin on the probable loss of two states. But he doesn’t look like a very happy man when he says: “There are bright spots on the one side but some shadows on the other,” Pofalla says. “The CDU is the strongest party in all three states and the SPD is beaten, far behind us. We’re the only major party left in Germany.”

 

 

6:20 p.m. - The CDU are licking their wounds and the SPD are celebrating. It’s a bit of a curious sight, considering the SPD is so far behind the CDU in both Saarland and Thuringia. But because the SPD will likely be able to form coalitions with the Left and Greens in those two states, the centre-left party feels like the big winner. It is the first time since 2001 that the SPD won control of a state government away from the CDU.

 

6:08 p.m. Merkel’s conservatives suffered losses in regional elections, exit polls showed. It is a disappointment for her Christian Democrats one month before she seeks re-election in a federal vote. In Saarland, on the French border, and in Thuringia, in the ex-communist east, CDU leaders who have ruled for a decade saw their support slump to 34.5 percent and 32.5 percent, respectively, and could be unseated by leftist coalitions. In a third regional vote in the eastern state of Saxony, Merkel’s party looked poised to retain power, as expected. 

 

6:02 p.m. - Merkel’s Christian Democrats suffer heavy losses in two states, Saarland and Thuringia and could lose power in those two states — according to German TV exit polls.

 

5:45 p.m. - There are about 20 Reuters journalists working in the Berlin newsroom and in three state capitals this evening on this story. They’re going to try to bring the story, the pictures and the TV images to subscribers in Germany and around the world as quickly as possible at 6 p.m. Who will be the big winner? The big loser? What will it all mean for the federal election next month?

 

5:30 p.m. - Just 30 minutes until the polls close. Tension is rising in Berlin as journalists around town scramble to try to get an early glimpse at the exit poll data the networks will be airing shortly. There are some reports of twitter results making the rounds as well but they seem a bit dodgy.

3:30 p.m. - More than 6 million people are eligible to vote in the three state elections today. Voter turnout is running higher in Saarland than in the two eastern states, according to Saarbruecker Zeitung online (in German). A total of 36.7 percent of eligible voters in Saarland had cast their ballots by 2 p.m. — up from 28 percent in the last state election five years ago. In Thuringia, where a close battle is also expected, voter turnout was at 34.9 percent at 2 p.m according to local media reports, up from 29.5 percent at 2 p.m. five years ago. In Saxony, where the CDU is expected to win easily, voter turnout was below 2004 levels: 27.6 percent by 2 p.m. compared to 33.4 percent. 

 

2:30 p.m. - All the leading candidates in the three states have cast their ballots. None had anything especially interesting to say to reporters waiting for their comments. Saarland’s CDU state premier Peter Mueller was on his way back to his car after voting when he was asked what was at stake: “That the election comes to a reasonable conclusion.” His opponent, Heiko Maas of the SPD, was more talkative but said just as little: “We’ve done everything we could,” he said. Thuringia’s CDU state premier Dieter Althaus, who has been fighting hard to keep his job, was asked what he was hoping for today: “For a high voter turnout.” His chief rival, Left party challenger Bodo Ramelow, was asked the same thing and said: “I’m hoping we’ll get more than 26.1 percent we got last time.” 

 

11:15 a.m. Frank-Walter Steinmeier, the SPD candidate running against Merkel in next month’s election, is quoted in Bild am Sonntag newspaper this morning saying he hopes the CDU chancellor will have to start campaigning in earnest after today’s three state elections. She has run a cautious campaign and largely stayed above the fray so far — perhaps understandable with her CDU/CSU conservative bloc holding a 12-15 point lead in opinion polls over the SPD. Aside from the predictable messages from Steinmeier like there is nothing wrong with a SPD-Left coalition in western states anymore and he’s confident the SPD will once again catch up to the CDU/CSU as in the home stretch of the last two federal elections in 2002 and 2005, the Vice Chancellor has one interesting admission in the Q+A with a group of newspaper readers: He does not actually sit down with his laptop in the evenings to write his blogs himself. Instead, Steinmeier revealed, he sometimes calls them through on the telephone. “To be honest, I only rarely get to do that myself. Most of the blogs I’ll call through in the car after the last rally,” Steinmeier told Bild am Sonntag readers.
 
8 a.m. - The polls in three German states holding elections today just opened – exactly four weeks before the federal election. It’s a lovely late summer day across the country and the turnout will likely be high. The three states are an important test for Chancellor Angela Merkel, as my colleague Noah Barkin wrote in this report earlier this morning. The three states have all long been ruled by Merkel’s party, the Christian Democrats. But in two states, Saarland in the west and Thuringia in the east, the Social Democrats could take power in a new leftist alliance with the Left party and Greens. The Left, which traces its roots to the Communist East German party that built the Berlin Wall, has been ostracised in the west — until now. That could all change after today. We’ll be updating this post throughout the day. The polling stations close at 6 p.m. and the first exit polls will be instantly flashed by the German public TV networks — and we’ll keep you posted with live updates here. The exit polls in Germany are often quite accurate and within about 30 minutes we’ll pass along the networks’ even more precise projections.

PHOTOS - From top to bottom: CDU Saarland state premier talks to SPD rival Heiko Maas. SPD Chancellor candidate Frank-Walter Steinmeier celebrates SPD election results on Sunday.  Chancellor Angela Merkel reacts during a discussion in Hamburg on Sunday: Steinmeier, on campaign trail in Saarland last week; Below: Merkel and Peter Mueller, Saarland state prime minister, attend an election campaign rally in Saarland last week. REUTERS/Thomas Peters, Christian Charius, Johannes Eisele (3)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

August 28th, 2009

Japan two-party system — long in arriving

Posted by: Linda Sieg

Observers of Japanese politics who have long thought the country was ripe for a real two-party system are watching Sunday's election with a dual sense of incredulity -- surprise that it has taken so long to oust the long-ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), and surprise that it finally looks like happening.

Media surveys show the decade-old opposition Democratic Party is set to win the poll for parliament's powerful lower house -- and probably by a landslide, ushering in party leader Yukio Hatoyama at the head of a government pledged to spend more on consumers and workers than the companies that benefited most from LDP policies.

JAPAN-ELECTION/

That would be only the second time the LDP has lost its grip on government since it was founded in 1955.

"Every one I talk to has that feeling -- they aren't sure it's really going to happen because they thought it would happen before," said Steven Reed, a political scientist at Chuo University who has been analysing Japanese politics for decades. "A lot of people predicted based on hope, and that's not a particularly good variable for predictions."

Those with long memories can't help but recall the only other time the LDP lost power, when heavyweight Ichiro Ozawa and dozens of other lawmakers bolted the party in 1993 and voted in favour of a no-confidence motion against then-premier Kiichi Miyazawa, triggering a political quake that led to the formation of a multiparty, anti-LDP coalition under the telegenic Morihiro Hosokawa.

Hosokawa entranced a public more accustomed to staid, dark-suited and often inarticulate leaders with his media-savvy ways -- striding before cameras at an international leaders' summit with a white scarf around his neck, using a teleprompter at news conferences -- and promising to cut the bureaucratic red-tape that critics said was strangling the world's second-biggest economy.

HOSOKAWA

Eight months later, though, proponents of change watched in dismay as haggling in Hosokawa's eight-party coalition and talk of scandal prompted Hosokawa to step down. Two months after that, the LDP returned to power in an odd-couple alliance with a Socialist premier at the top.

"There was a feeling then that this would work," Reed said of the mood when Hosokawa took power. "The problem was, the LDP lost, but nobody won ... You need an alternative, and building an alternative is not that easy."

Corruption, policy missteps and the fraying of a once-mighty political machine underminded the LDP's support in ensuing years but the ever-adaptable party stayed in power through coalitions.

And when its days appeared numbered under the wildly unpopular prime minister Yoshiro Mori, the LDP turned in 2001 --albeit reluctantly -- to the charismatic Junichiro Koizumi, a wavy-haired maverick with a knack for sound bites, to revive its fortunes by staging a battle against his own party's hide-bound ways under a slogan of reform.

Koizumi's "magic" saved the party for another five years, and he led the LDP to a massive election victory in 2005. But his three successors presided over declining support rates as they stumbled over policies and personnel and failed to connect with voters.

Now smouldering voter anger -- more of a slow burn against the LDP than feverish enthusiasm for the opposition Democrats -- finally looks set to turn out the LDP, as a wary electorate prepares to give change a chance -- even if they're not sure that the new crew can do much better.

Photo credit: REUTERS/Issei Kato (top)