Comments on: Russia’s new Eurobond: what’s the fair price? http://blogs.reuters.com/globalinvesting/2012/03/22/russias-new-eurobond-whats-the-fair-price/ Insights behind the investment headlines Wed, 16 Nov 2016 21:43:49 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.5 By: CRAO http://blogs.reuters.com/globalinvesting/2012/03/22/russias-new-eurobond-whats-the-fair-price/comment-page-1/#comment-5833 Fri, 23 Mar 2012 18:28:11 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/globalinvesting/?p=5747#comment-5833 Dear Ms. Rao,

A recent claim successfully put forth by the Russian Government before two French courts (see below) could have drastic financial implications for the Russian State’s budget, stemming from the existence of billions of unpaid russian sovereign debt.

We believe credit rating agencies and emerging debt managers should follow developments in this matter very closely.

The current investment grade ratings enjoyed by the Russian Federation are based on a negligent analysis of inaccurate financial data.

The public accounts of the Russian Federation’s financial position make no mention of (and therefore actively dissimulate) the existence of due debt issued or guaranteed by the Russian State prior to 1917.

It has been put forth to the French Senate (Sénat, Commission des Affaires Etrangères de la Défense et des Forces Armées, rapport no. 150 – 1997 – 1998, projet de loi relatif au règlement définitif des créances réciproques entre la France et la Russie, annexe au procès verbal de la séance du 3 décembre 1997) that the 1997 value of this debt was in excess of 40 billion US$.

If the leading credit rating agencies adjusted the Russian Federation’s public accounts, as they should, to include an additional liability of US$ 40 billion this would no doubt lead to a change in their opinion on that State’s capacity to repay debt, and so to the ratings they issue.

While credit rating agencies and the Russian Federation have both argued wrongly in the past, and still do, that debt issued or guaranteed by the Imperial Russian State is not a full faith and credit obligation of the Russian Federation, they may not be able to do so in the future because recent claims sucessfully put forth recently by the Russian Federation have drastically changed the situation.

By successfully claiming ownership, before two French courts (Tribunal de Grande Instance de Nice in 2009 and Cour d’Appel d’Aix en Provence in 2011), of the Orthodox Cathedral in Nice on the grounds that the building had been paid for out of the Imperial Russian State budget and that the Russian Federation was the successor governement to the Imperial Russian State, the Russian Federation has in fact asked the court to acknowledge what defaulted sovereign bondholders have been saying all along: that the Russian Federation is the successor government to the Imperial Russian State and as such is both entitled to claim its assets and bound to pay off Imperial Russia’s debt.

For more on the matter of negligent sovereign debt rating analysis, please visit our website at:

www.crao.eu

We thank you for your attention.

The Credit Rating Agency Observatory – CRAO

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