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Archive for the ‘Wealth Managers’ Category

July 14th, 2009

Goldman’s Viniar: Why pay twice?

Posted by: Joseph Giannone

HEALTHFOOD-ASIA/Turns out Goldman Sachs is a staunch advocate of going organic -- when it comes to the money management business.

As Barclays auctioned off its Barclays Global Investors unit this year, Goldman was widely seen as a likely acquirer. That is until Blackrock In under Larry Fink emerged as the buyer with a $13.5 billion deal.

Lots of other money managers are expected to be sold, as the industry consolidates and cash-strapped banks look for valuables to pawn. But Viniar told analysts Goldman's preference is to grow the business without deals, and appeared to question the very idea of money manager deals.

"If there were an acquisition that made sense financially for us to do, we would certainly consider it," he said, something he says every three months to calm down excitable analysts. "When we look at the prices of most of the acquisitions, we think that they haven't made sense in that you've had to assume really heroic growth rates that we don't think are realistic." 

Jefferies Putnam Lovell recently said it counted 35 management deals in the second quarter, compared with 52 deals a year earlier. Besides the BGI takeover, Aquiline Capital Partners acquired Conning & Co,  JPMorgan Chase bought the remainder of its Highbridge Capital Management hedge fund unit and Woori Finance purchased Credit Suisse's 30 percent interest in a joint venture.

Yet Viniar notes money management firm deals are tricky, since buyers have to pay a premium for the company and then put up more money to retain star managers. And even as billions of profits come sloshing into Goldman's coffers, Viniar apparently doesn't like to part ways with the firm's cash.

"It has taken a while, but we've grown (the asset management business) quite successfully, almost exclusively organically." he said. "And the high likelihood is that is the way we are going to continue to grow it in the future."

(Photo: A customer walks past organic products in an organic food chain store in Taipei/Pichi Chuang)

May 20th, 2009

More than a nice-to-have, buy-side considers its actions

Posted by: Daniel Bases

More than a “nice to have,” investor sentiment is running heavily on the side of environment, social and governance (ESG) factors, according to the latest Thomson Reuters Perception Snapshot.

Feedback from 25 global buy-side investors found that 84 percent evaluate ESG criteria to some degree when making an investment decision.

The remaining 16 percent say ESG issues are not considered until a company’s ability to generate high returns is hindered by these factors.

Some of the selected comments:

“ESG only plays a role to the extent that it is an overhang on the stock. There is no moral component to investing. We are value neutral when it comes to our investment decisions, but we are not value neutral in our lives. We have a fiduciary duty to our clients, to the people who give us money to manage to maximize returns, which means that we can not be limited by our own personal morality. If I see a cigarette company that looks interesting I may invest in it even though I might not like it
personally.” - U.S. Hedge Fund Investor

“I am convinced that companies that follow the philosophy of social and economic responsibility are performing better in the long-term than those that do not.” - European Core Growth Investor

The report dovetails with Tuesday’s push by U.S. President Barack Obama to push for tougher industrial standards aimed at lowering greenhouse gas emissions.

Obama ordered the U.S. auto industry, where the hand of government is firmly in control (GM and Chrysler, but not Ford) to make more fuel-efficient cars to cut emissions and increase gas mileage.

The House of Representatives started its debate on the 946-page Democratic bill on Tuesday. Republicans are arguing the legislation would burden the economy with higher energy costs.

Does that matter, when scientists reported on Tuesday that global warming’s effects this century could be twice as extreme as estimated just six years ago?

Massachusetts Institute of Technology scientists estimate the Earth’s median surface temperature could rise 9.3 degrees F (5.2 degrees C) by 2100. That’s up from the 4.3 degrees F (2.4 degrees C) estimate in 2003.

The U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said seas would rise by between 18 and 59 cms (7-24 inches) this century. But it pointed to big uncertainties about ice sheets in Greenland or Antarctica — one IPCC estimate was that this ice could add up to 20 cms to sea level rise.

May 14th, 2009

Lambs to the slaughter

Posted by: Simon Meads

The mood was not so much one of indignant fury but quiet disappointment in Founders Hall for the Candover AGM yesterday. 

A contrite and clearly uncomfortable chairman Gerry Grimstone took the stand – looking like a schoolboy caught with his hand in the biscuit tin, wishing he could be anywhere else. 

 

He said he had lain awake at night re-examining the decisions that have devastated the share price and brought the company to the brink of sale. And it was easy to believe him. 

 

Company founder Roger Brooke spoke from the floor of his personal hurt and sadness at the damage to the company’s reputation.

 

“I do find it odd that the board was not aware there was a financial crisis,” added his co-founder and past chairman Stephen Curran 

 

Other shareholders expressed their polite astonishment at the “lack of foresight” from the board of directors, and questioned how the listed parent could have made a 1 bln euro commitment to the Candover 2008 fund last August without having any say in how of when the money was spent. 

 

“We were wrong, the board was wrong, they were wrong,” said Grimstone, indicating that too much money was invested by Candover funds in 2008 and too little more was returned to investors. 

 

Another shareholder asked whether the board had followed the market like sheep in borrowing to fund its commitment. 

 

“If so you should be rounded up and put in sheep dip,” he said. 

 

“I have never been sheep-dipped – it doesn’t sound a very pleasant process,” grimaced Grimstone. 

February 24th, 2009

Smell the money in Asia

Posted by: Anshuman Daga

Asia is still the place to be to make big bucks.

That’s the upbeat message from Baring Asset Management, which is betting on Asia to deliver some of the best returns during a recovery.  The only question is when’s the recovery coming?

“The market may still have further to fall but the evidence suggests that when a recovery does happen, Asia’s equity market rally is likely to outstrip many other markets around the world, particulary the developed markets,” Baring’s head of Asian multi-asset Khiem Do says.

Barings based its research on its analysis of MSCI data. The research shows that the 18 rallies (a rise of 20 percent from the bottom to the next turn in the market) seen in Asian markets since Dec. 1987, when MSCI launched Asian indices, produced on average, returns of 43 percent in U.S. dollar terms in six months.

February 5th, 2009

One Minute Manager

Posted by: Jeremy Gaunt

One minute, one manager. An occasional word about what to expect from the economy and financial markets. Today is Giles Keating, global head of research at Credit Suisse Private Bank.

It is time, Keating says, to prepare for a bottoming out of the global economic downturn.

February 4th, 2009

For better or worse?

Posted by: Jeremy Gaunt

Wealth managers at Citi Private Bank are telling their clients to stay neutral in their exposure to hedge funds at the moment, whether the strategy be event driven, equity long/short or macro. The main reason is that capital markets are still stressed and many hedge funds still need to deleverage.

The firm points out, however, that hedge funds had a good news-bad news kind of year in 2008. Based on the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index, it was the worst performance on record. The index lost 23.3 percent. Its next worst performance was 2002 — and that was only a 1.5 percent decline.

Losses were widespread across all kinds of strategies. Only merger arbitrage and systematic macro gained anything. 

The good news, so to speak, was that that this dreadful performance was better than what you would have got from just plain equities. The S&P 500, for example, lost 38.5 percent, meaning that the hedge fund index outperformed by a whopping 15.2 percentage points.

It was that kind of year.