Global Investing

Addicted to Credit

The Federal Reserve’s expansionist monetary policies are the equivalent of giving an alcoholic another drink or the heroin addict another fix, according to Dr Marc Faber, also known as Dr Doom, and a fierce critic of Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke.

“This is not solving the problem – it is just treating the symptoms,” he said, speaking at the CFA Institute’s European Investment Conference in Frankfurt on Thursday.

Faber blames Greenspan’s decision to hold interest rates at artificially low levels for precipitating the housing bubble and sees Bernanke repeating the mistake in the current crisis. “The Fed seems to ignore the fact that one of the causes of this crisis was the amount of leverage in the system. This is a credit-addicted economy.”

He sees central bankers as having become hostage to inflated asset markets and questioned how sustainable the next boom would be given that it was simply storing up more debt. Total US debt to GDP is now at 375 percent, without including the contingent liabilities from Medicare and Medicaid. Faber sees this having serious implications for inflation.

“When the Fed should be increasing rates, interest payments on government debt will balloon. In five years’ time some 30-40 percent of US tax revenues will go on servicing that debt,” he said. “Where will they get that money? They will have to print it.”

from MacroScope:

Who do you blame for the credit crisis?

Greedy bankers are routinely blamed for the credit crisis but one British-based poll of -- well, financiers -- spreads the blame more widely.

Gary Jenkins, head of fixed income research at Evolution Securities, wanted a more specific scapegoat and ran a poll of about 200 mostly fund managers and investors asking them to pick their credit crisis culprit. Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan was the clear winner, picking up 35
percent of the votes. He has been widely criticised over the past year for low interest rate policies that helped fuel the credit boom.

Former U.S. president Bill Clinton also figured quite prominently with about 10 percent of  votes, and British prime minister Gordon Brown got quite a few.