Global Investing

from DealZone:

Is Cadbury too rich for Hershey?

While Cadbury shares saw some life on hopes for a rival bid from Hershey -- boosted by reporting from the FT that a rival offer was further along than much of the market had assumed -- naysaying analysts and pundits have been quick to point out that the financials of a Hershey bid are hard to stomach.

Hershey is only half the size of Cadbury, and a big share issue would dilute the stake of the controlling Hershey Trust, which has been every bit as crucial to defining the company as the kiss. The FT report says Hershey is working on a private equity element with none other than Byron Trott, Warren Buffett's banker of choice. The idea that Buffett, who is Kraft's biggest shareholder, could play both sides of a bidding war is, if not new, certainly intriguing, particularly given his apparent distaste for Kraft selling its own shares to keep its bid attractive.

And while Cadbury has repeatedly denied it is looking for a white knight, a deal that would leave its management in place, perhaps in exchange for keeping the Hershey Trust intact, could be attractive enough to consider breaking off a piece of Cadbury to give to a private equity investor to chew on ... its gum business, for example.

from DealZone:

Is Buffett being Krafty?

Warren Buffett may have thrown a monkey wrench into Kraft's bid for Cadbury -- not with his 'no' vote on Kraft's plan to issue 370 million shares to help buy the British chocolate company, but with his scathing comments on Kraft's board for a deal he has long regarded with skepticism. Buffett previously said Kraft's stock was an "expensive currency" for funding the deal, a position he repeated on Tuesday.

Kraft's proposed share issue would give it a "blank check," allowing it to change its offer for Cadbury, Buffett's insurance and investment company Berkshire Hathaway said in a statement. "And we worry very much that, indeed, there will be an additional change from the revision announced this morning."

The statement came hard on the heels of a slight sweetening by Kraft of its $16.4 billion offer for Cadbury. The overall figure is the same, but the cash portion is a bit bigger. Perhaps more telling, it also followed a statement from Nestle shooting down speculation that the world's biggest food group had any interest in getting involved in the Cadbury deal.