Global Investing

from MacroScope:

Investor sentiment roadmap

Investor sentiment goes through various phases in an economic cycle -- from optimism, euphoria to panic and depression, back to hope and optimism.

James Thomson, investment manager of Rathbones global opportunities fund, discusses the current stage of investor morale.

from MacroScope:

Hey Europe, stop acting so happy

Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg's views are well-known for bearing no resemblance to his firm's trademark bull, so when he says European clients seem too upbeat, what he really means is they weren't thoroughly depressed. The New York-based economist just got back from a marketing trip across the Atlantic and didn't find much common ground.

In particular, he said European clients seemed more concerned about inflation than the deflation that he sees coming, and they may have unrealistically high expectations for President Barack Obama.

"Unbelievably ... portfolio managers seem to think they are taking a bigger risk with their careers by missing the rallies than by missing the sell-offs," he wrote in a note to clients. "I can tell you that this is not a condition from a sentiment standpoint that terminates bear markets."