Global Investing

Hook joins the alphabet soup

May 6, 2009

About a year ago investors hotly debated what would be the shape of a world economic recovery — would it be a steep V? Or could it be moderate U, stagnating L or double-dipping W?

Now ratings agency Moody’s is introducing the new scenario of “hook-shaped” recovery.

from MacroScope:

Springing back to life

April 22, 2009

The steady stream of less-bad-than-expected economic data has evidently been working as a builder of optimism. Confidence in improved economies and financlal market conditions is growing.

Big Five

April 20, 2009

Five things to think about this week:

EARNINGS DELUGE
– A heavy U.S. earnings week looms and the European reporting calendar is picking up. While more banks and financials will be reporting (e.g. Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, Credit Suisse and a trading update due from Barclays), results will start flowing from a wider range of sectors in both the U.S. and Europe (ranging from Apple and IBM to Glaxo SmithKline, Du Pont, Coca Cola). Health of the broader economy on display.

Bubble and Beauty

April 15, 2009

Is beauty a defensive sector? Swiss bank UBS surveyed 4,000 women in Western Europe and the United States about their use and purchasing of skin and hair care products — capturing 15 percent of the total global personal care market.

from MacroScope:

Canada dresses up for bears

April 8, 2009

For all the designer drinks and gourmet foods - from raw oysters to sushi, and the sea of men in expensive suits and bejeweled women in elegant gowns, the setting seemed fit only for celebration.

The wealth effect in reverse

By Reuters Staff
March 5, 2009

This chart shows losses in the Standard & Poor’s 500 index since October 2007. Joseph Brusuelas, a director at Moody’s Economy.com, said from the 2007 peak to the first quarter of 2009, U.S. stock holdings fell $7.6 trillion in real terms. “Our estimate suggests that through the end of March, U.S. stock wealth will have fallen by $66,000 per household,” he said.

from Raw Japan:

Whither the yen — a withering yen?

February 27, 2009

The yen's fall against the dollar the past few weeks has been remarkably fast, and calculated from where it is now around 97.70 yen, the dollar has jumped nearly 9 percent this month, on track for its biggest such gain since August 1995.

Moldova — ultimate crisis-proof country?

January 23, 2009

It’s the poorest country in Europe and its main export is alcohol but it can still beat the world’s largest economy when it comes to financial muscle. Yes you’ve guessed it, Moldova trumps the United States in the Banker magazine’s 2009 World Financial Health Index.

from James Saft:

Balance of power upended at Davos

January 23, 2009

So, back we go next week to Davos for the World Economic Forum 2009, titled this year "Shaping the post-crisis world."

The end of the Bush stock market

January 16, 2009

Today marks the end of the Bush stock market.

He has presided over the evisceration of more than $4.6 trillion of U.S. stock market wealth as measured by the S&P 500.