It seems Greece has finally reached a deal on austerity measures needed for a bailout. But what about PSI?
(ECB President Mario Draghi just said he heard it was close to a deal. It’s been close for a few weeks though…)
JP Morgan says Greek PSI is hardly going to change the heavy interest burden on the country and the issue of default will inevitably come up.
First of all, Greece’s interest payments are huge.
Greece paid 15.5 bln euros in net interest payments in 2011, 17% of total general revenues. This is the highest among all OECD countries and more than 3 times the OECD average of 5%. It is also more than double the 8% average for other peripheral countries in the euro zone.
The U.S. bank estimates the Greek PSI is going to capture 205bln euros of private bond holders (and perhaps a further 55bln euros if the ECB participated).