Global Investing

from MacroScope:

Rip-off Britain or the cost of cheaper sterling?

February 17, 2009

Inflation is plunging faster than analysts are forecasting just about everywhere in the developed world. Except for Britain. Those accustomed to high prices and inflation-busting increases in tube and rail fares at the start of every year were probably not surprised.

from MacroScope:

Hey Europe, stop acting so happy

January 26, 2009

Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg's views are well-known for bearing no resemblance to his firm's trademark bull, so when he says European clients seem too upbeat, what he really means is they weren't thoroughly depressed. The New York-based economist just got back from a marketing trip across the Atlantic and didn't find much common ground.

Not going back to platform days

December 3, 2008

Deflation seems to have replaced inflation as the public enemy No.1 these days.

This might give relief to quite a number of people, including those who thought the resurgence of inflation could take us back to the 1970s.

UK economy — too gloomy to chart?

September 18, 2008

During a briefing in the London office of Societe Generale this week, Alain Bokobza, head of European Equity and Cross Asset strategy, handed out a booklet containing series of charts and graphs to explain the bank’s latest multi asset portfolio for the fourth quarter.
Chart
As he explained the outlook for the UK economy, a chart on UK growth was discreetly missing from the booklet.

Talking inflation over coffee as oil falls

September 2, 2008

CoffeeInteresting juxtapositions at a Barclays Capital chat. On the day when oil prices were plunging below $106 a barrel — more than $40 below their July record peak — the investment bank held a lunch seminar to discuss trading strategies on inflation. ”It seems odd to have an inflation seminar when oil prices more or less collapsed,” said Tim Bond, head of global asset allocation. He added, however, that there is still structural upward pressure on inflation and this theme is further to run.

Steelmakers show industrial Germany is weathering downturn

August 14, 2008

steel2.jpgIt’s not all doom and gloom — just ask steelmakers.

Germany’s ThyssenKrupp and Salzgitter have both raised their profit forecasts, fuelled by demand from fast-growing China, India and Russia. Profits are soaring on sky-high prices for rolled and flat steel.

The magic of seasonal adjustments: You’re paying less for gas

May 14, 2008

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Been paying more at the pump lately? Not to worry. It’s just a figment of your imagination, new government data shows.