Global Investing

Russia’s babushka time-bomb

The babushka, that embodiment of Russian grandmotherly goodness that has spawned iconic dolls and inspired a Kate Bush song, poses one of the gravest threat to the Russian economy.

Moscow-based investment bank Renaissance Capital also expects this segment of the demography to spur politically risky pension reforms.

Russia’s pension system is coming under increasing strain thanks to growing life expectancy — particularly among women — and a shrinking labour force due to the collapse in birth rates in the 1990s.

Since the introduction of the current system, the average life span of the Russian man has risen to 63.4 years, up from 58.7. Over the same period of time, the life expectancy for the country’s women has risen to 75.4 years, up from 71.9.

Russian women are thus likely to claim a pension for 20 years after retirement at 55. Compare this to the three to four years that the average Russian man gets.

How much risk should pensioners accept?

Calpers, the California Public Employees Retirement System, manages about as much money the gross domestic product of Israel – around $200 billion at the latest count.

The long term financial security of 1.6 million people, from firefighters to janitors and judges, depends on Calpers getting it right.

America’s biggest pension fund, Calpers built up a gold plated reputation over the decades, founded on steady returns combined with a willingness to pioneer new investments and police public companies as an activist shareholder.