The desperate days when Chinese property developers offered free cars as an inducement to homebuyers look to be over.
Sales and earnings figures indicate some of the gloom is lifting as developers have enjoyed a second straight month of rising sales. Vanke, China’s biggest developer by sales, said last week that March sales had risen 24 percent year on year, while 2011 profits rose 30 percent. Another firm, China Overseas Land, posted a 21.5 percent profit rise last year.
The mood is reflected in stock prices. While the Shanghai shares index has risen less than 5 percent this year, a sub-index of Chinese property companies has risen 13 percent. Shares in Vanke and COL are up 13 percent and 22 percent respectively. A Reuters poll of fund managers showed that investors had upped their weighting for property stocks to 10.9 percent at the end of March, the highest level in two years.
The share rally has continued even though the government has dashed hopes it will soon wind down its two-year campaign to bring down property prices. It has also bucked a broad housing market slowdown (home prices fell for the fifth straight month in February) amid signs that Chinese authorities are unlikely to provide the economy with any further stimulus. Analysts at Citi said in a recent note:
Developers’ comfort under current tightening (policy) and confidence in a stable outlook suggests the toughest time for China’s property sector is over.