The Great Debate UK

from The Great Debate:

U.S. government borrowing runs into resistance

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John Kemp Great Debate-- John Kemp is a Reuters columnist. The views expressed are his own --

Investors have started to balk at absorbing large quantities of U.S. government debt, taking on substantial inflation and devaluation risk in return for little reward. While the government has no trouble placing short-term debt with a maturity of up to 2 years, longer-dated securities are proving much harder to sell.

Increasing resistance from the market explains why the Federal Reserve felt it had no choice but to announce it would start buying back longer-term U.S. Treasury securities last week, in a $300 billion program of direct quantitative easing and monetization.

The attached chart (https://customers.reuters.com/d/graphics/TREASAUCTIONS.pdf) shows the amount of 10-year U.S. Treasury debt placed at each of the auctions since the beginning of 2008, the interest rate which the government offered (coupon yield), and the range of rates (high, low, median) the market actually accepted through the auction process.

The government has been steadily cutting the coupon rate on offer from 4 percent in September 2008 to 3.75 percent in January 2009 and 2.75 percent at the auctions held in both February and March. But the market's appetite for longer-term debt at such low interest rates has been waning.

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