The Great Debate UK

from MacroScope:

The perils of predicting BoE policy

February 8, 2011

BRITAIN/As we’ve noted extensively, economists often get it wrong. Leaving aside their collective failure to recognise an impending global recession, you might recall a shock interest rate hike from the Bank of England in January 2007.

from The Great Debate:

Forecasting and its discontents

August 27, 2010

"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future," is attributed to a long list of people. Even with that in mind, however, the first eight months of 2010 have been especially unkind to professional forecasters and investors as markets have lurched between extremes of pessimism and optimism.

A reality check from Standard & Poor’s

May 21, 2009

REUTERS– Neil Collins is a Reuters columnist. The views expressed are his own –