Comments on: Forget the debate: Two simple reasons a Republican will likely win in 2016 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/ Thu, 21 Jul 2016 07:57:19 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=4.2.5 By: melodyszabo http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1127582 Tue, 02 Feb 2016 22:38:25 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1127582 Bernie Sanders, that’s what all the real computer models and prediction histories are showing. Clearly this model involves only the American Ruling Class, who are irrelevant now that Capitalism has reached Zero Returns.

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By: PAL52 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1127326 Sat, 23 Jan 2016 08:39:03 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1127326 I recommend everyone ignore the tripe in this story and just read fivethirtyeight.com.
Utter tripe.

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By: colorninja http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1127075 Mon, 18 Jan 2016 23:03:46 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1127075 I believe, with how crazy this election is, using foreign data COULD actually be somewhat valid.

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By: patriclancy http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1126934 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 20:55:39 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1126934 “Why are we so confident, especially when opinion poll data now gives Hillary Clinton the edge over most Republican opponents? ”

As of January 13th is a false figure. Sanders has double digit polling figures in both Iowa and New Hampshire, in likely votes between himself and Trump, vs Hilary vs Trump.

No previous voting patterns are applicable when you take into account this is the first election where young voters were raised without TV news being their number one source of political data. Sanders is real while Hilary and the Republicans are owned spokesmen for the world of high finance. Young, and old, voters, now know this.

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By: mistercoffee http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1126913 Wed, 13 Jan 2016 13:14:49 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1126913 I thought I was reading The Onion there for a second. GOP has no chance.

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By: BrandoMarlin http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1124559 Fri, 18 Dec 2015 14:12:10 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1124559 I would have guessed “fear” and “ignorance.”

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By: christfollower http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1115614 Thu, 05 Nov 2015 02:54:12 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1115614 Congratulations for the closet party that will represent Christian values.For those that do not have any moral belief or those that chose to hate GOD I must say we are bring back God into our society,It will be bitter sweet and the Evil that is becoming popular will soon be defeated.
We as Christ followers can relish the fact a republican will at the very least allow Christianity to take back what is Gods.We will not hate we will simply Love and allow everyone the freedoms they think they are fighting for.United we stand divided we fall,,,,One nation under God,indivisible with liberty and justice for all.

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By: SteveO999 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1115612 Thu, 05 Nov 2015 00:04:43 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1115612 There are a couple of things the middle doesn’t take into account. For one the demographics’ are not in the GOP’s favor any more and will likely get worse unless they start courting minorities. Studies show Republican’s will need to win over 40% of the Hispanic vote and that is very unlikely based on the current climate of hostility coming from the GOP toward Hispanics. Also, the GOP base which use to be the largest voting block is dying off and is now not even in the top three. States like New Mexico, Nevada and Colorado which use to be swing states are becoming solid blue because of the growing Hispanic vote.

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By: MaxWell66 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1115607 Wed, 04 Nov 2015 22:29:26 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1115607 With due respect, I’ve seen a better analysis than THAT about an upcoming election from a gypsy fortuneteller at a Renaissance fair.

Your analysis pales in comparison to the EXCELLENT ones done by Douglas Hibbs’ (the Bread and Peace model) and that of Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry (from the University of Colorado) from last time; depite the research they did, THEY were wrong.

Yours is wishful thinking and shoddy work.

People are not statistics. That is the major weakness of the Republican Party.

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By: katlange http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/10/14/forget-what-you-saw-last-night-two-simple-reasons-a-republican-is-likely-to-win-in-2016/#comment-1114689 Sat, 31 Oct 2015 19:26:40 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/?p=44155#comment-1114689 It’s worth pointing out that Clifford Young and Julia Clark, the co-authors, are the President and Senior Vice President of Ipsos Public Affairs respectively. Ipsos being the company used for all of the analysis of polling data in the article.

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