Opinion

The Great Debate

Why North America is stronger than its parts

Twenty years ago NAFTA, the most ambitious free trade agreement negotiation of its time, gave birth to a profound transformation of the economies and the regional value chains of Mexico, the United States and Canada. Trade dramatically changed the relationship between the three countries, though asymmetries of power and economic vitality persist.

This week, at the North American Leaders Summit in Toluca, Mexico, Presidents Obama and Peña Nieto, together with Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, continued a dialogue about trade, economic growth and the energy revolution in North America. A priority for all parties should be the continued economic integration of the three countries — the region’s greatest hope for job creation and prosperity.

Since 1994 NAFTA, in terms of trade, has triggered a rising tide, lifting boats in all three countries. The numbers are compelling: more than $1 trillion of trade in goods and services annually between the three partners; $1.2 billion of daily trade between Mexico and the U.S.; 6 million U.S. jobs directly related to trade with Mexico; and Canada and Mexico buying more U.S. products than any other nation on the face of the earth.

To understand these numbers in the context of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) — the two ambitious and critically relevant trade negotiations the U.S. is currently pursuing — the combined exports of the United States’ two neighbors is more than six times that of the other TPP nations, and U.S. exports to Mexico and Canada exceeds those to all EU nations.

But beyond the importance of North America as a marketplace, NAFTA led to one of the most significant trade realignments of any economic bloc: today, Mexico, the United States and Canada have become partners in manufacturing. Through production sharing, the countries are actually building products together, such as automobiles and aerospace parts.

from The Great Debate UK:

Residue of the Great Recession

Drummond- Don Drummond is Chief Economist at TD Bank Financial Group. The opinions expressed are his own. -

The Great Recession is over in North America.  But repair will be a slow work in progress and great risks remain.  Many of these risks are centred on policy matters.  The recession shook our understanding of some policy matters to the core, leaving more questions than answers.

The Great Recession produced deep output and employment losses in many countries, certainly including Britain and the U.S., but also an unprecedented degree of synchronization around the globe. 

from The Great Debate UK:

Obama risks South-American style economic decline

richard-wellings- Richard Wellings is Deputy Editorial Director at the Institute of Economic Affairs. The opinions expressed are his own.-

Argentina should be an object lesson for the U.S.

A century ago, it was one of the richest countries in the world. Today, it has fallen far behind Europe and North America, after a hundred years marked by long periods of recession.

Faced with economic crisis, for example during World War I and the Great Depression, Argentina’s politicians turned to socialism. Lame-duck industries were subsidised and protected from competition, and policy was often driven by powerful vested interests such as the trade unions.

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