The Great Debate

What to read into a growing alliance between China and Pakistan

April 27, 2016
A man hangs decorations on a pole next to a banner showing Pakistan's President Mamnoon Hussain (L), China's President Xi Jinping (C) and Pakistan's Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, ahead of Xi's visit to Islamabad April 19, 2015. Xi will visit Pakistan on April 20 on a two day official visit to meet Pakistani leadership. REUTERS/Faisal Mahmood  - RTR4XX41

A man hangs decorations next to a banner showing Pakistan’s President Mamnoon Hussain (L), Chinese President Xi Jinping (C) and Pakistan’s Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, before Xi’s visit to Islamabad April 19, 2015. REUTERS/Faisal Mahmood

Is the risk of nuclear war rising?

December 20, 2015
A surface-to-surface Agni V missile is launched from the Wheeler Island off the eastern Indian state of Odisha April 19, 2012. India test-fired the long range missile capable of reaching deep into China and Europe on Thursday, thrusting the emerging Asian power into an elite club of nations with intercontinental nuclear weapons capabilities. A scientist at the launch site said the launch was successful, minutes after television images showed the rocket with a range of more than 5,000 km (3,100 miles) blasting through clouds from the Wheeler Island off Odisha coast. REUTERS/Indian Defence Research and Development Organisation/DRDO/Handout (INDIA - Tags: MILITARY) FOR EDITORIAL USE ONLY. NOT FOR SALE FOR MARKETING OR ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - RTR30XD1

A surface-to-surface Agni V missile is launched from the Wheeler Island off the eastern Indian state of Odisha April 19, 2012. REUTERS/Indian Defence Research and Development Organisation/Handout

Worst-case scenarios that are more likely than you think

November 13, 2015
A military investigator from Russia stands near the debris of a Russian airliner at its crash site at the Hassana area in Arish city, north Egypt, November 1, 2015. Russia has grounded Airbus A321 jets flown by the Kogalymavia airline, Interfax news agency reported on Sunday, after one of its fleet crashed in Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, killing all 224 people on board. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany - RTX1U8L7

A military investigator from Russia near the debris of a Russian airliner at its crash site at the Hassana area in Arish city, north Egypt, November 1, 2015. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

Why the West may miss the Taliban’s Mullah Omar

July 30, 2015
Taliban fighters pose with weapons in an undisclosed location in Nangarhar province

Taliban fighters pose with weapons in an undisclosed location in Nangarhar province in this December 13, 2010 picture. REUTERS/Stringer

Why Pakistan is friends with everyone – and no one

May 26, 2015
India's PM Modi shakes hands with his Pakistani counterpart Sharif as Nepal's PM Koirala and Afghanistan's President Ghani watch during the closing session of 18th SAARC summit in Kathmandu

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (front L) shakes hands with Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif (front C) as Nepal’s Prime Minister Sushil Koirala (back 2nd L) and Afghanistan’s President Ashraf Ghani (front R) look on at the 18th South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation summit in Kathmandu, November 27, 2014. REUTERS/Niranjan Shrestha/Pool

Why the U.S. officially ‘believes’ Pakistan’s bin Laden story

May 20, 2015
U.S. President Obama shakes hands with Pakistan's PM Sharif at the White House in Washington

President Barack Obama shakes hands with Pakistan’s Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington October 23, 2013. REUTERS/Larry Downing

Hostage deaths prove it’s time to rein in ‘signature’ drone strikes

April 28, 2015
American hostage Warren Weinstein is shown in this image captured from an undated video courtesy of SITE Intelligence Group

American hostage Warren Weinstein is shown in this image captured from an undated video courtesy of SITE Intelligence Group. Reuters/SITE/As-Sahab Media released by SITE Intelligence Group/Handout via Reuters

A new crisis is brewing between two nuclear-armed neighbors

April 14, 2015
A supporter of Shiv Sena holds Pakistan's national flag and a portrait of Lakhvi during a protest in New Delhi

A supporter of Shiv Sena, a Hindu hardline group, holds Pakistan’s national flag and a portrait of Zaki-ur-Rehman Lakhvi during a protest against Lakhvi’s release, in New Delhi, April 11, 2015. Lakhvi’s group,¬†Lashkar-e-Taiba, is believed to have been behind an attach that killed 166 people in Mumbai in 2008. REUTERS/Anindito Mukherjee

Why arming U.S. allies can be like sending weapons straight to the enemy

March 25, 2015
A member of the Kurdish peshmerga forces sit with a weapon during an intensive security deployment against Islamic State militants in Makhmur

A member of the Kurdish peshmerga forces sit with a weapon during an intensive security deployment against Islamic State militants in Makhmur, on the outskirts of the province of Nineveh August 7, 2014. REUTERS/Stringer

Prediction: Obama will decide to keep U.S. troops in Afghanistan beyond 2016

December 22, 2014

U.S. Marines prepare to board a plane at the end of operations for U.S. Marines and British combat troops in Helmand

In 2015, I predict that President Barack Obama will rethink his plan to have all operational U.S. combat forces out of Afghanistan by the end of 2016.