The Great Debate

Plutocrat manipulates stock? Old news!

By Richard White
March 11, 2014

On Monday, the New York Times detailed William A. Ackman’s “extraordinary attempt to leverage the corridors of power” in order to to drive down Herbalife stock prices. Ackman, who runs the hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management, has gone short on Herbalife.

from Global Investing:

Solar activities and market cycles

November 29, 2010

Can nature's cycles enrich our finance and market theories?

Market predictions based on the alignment of the sun, moon and the earth and other cycles could help investors stay disciplined and profit in economic storms, says Daniel Shaffer, CEO of Shaffer Asset Management.

Quantitative easing and the commodity markets

October 29, 2010

-The views expressed are the author’s own-

A warning by an International Energy Agency (IEA) analyst this week that quantitative easing (QE) risked inflating nominal commodity prices and derailing the recovery drew a withering response from Nobel Economics Laureate Paul Krugman, who labelled the unfortunate analyst the “worst economist in the world”.

We are all widows and orphans now

August 26, 2010

It may seem like a  world turned upside down: stocks are desired for their dividends and bonds are all about capital appreciation, or at least preservation.

Stocks from Venus, bonds from Mars

August 17, 2010

Forget about politics, the biggest divide in the U.S. is between stock and bond investors, who aren’t so much arguing as speaking entirely different languages.

For assets, demographics may be destiny

August 11, 2010

Right about now a massive demographic shift is getting under way which will put substantial downward pressure on house and stock prices, perhaps suppressing global asset prices by one percent a year.

Stocks, bonds and the earnings season dance

August 5, 2010

A look at company earnings implies it is a great time to be a corporation in America, but for investors a rising savings rate and the threat of deflation mean that, ugly and risky as they are, government bonds looks good in comparison to stocks.

Economy volatility a hurdle for stocks

March 23, 2010

Rather than inflation, it may turn out that economic volatility is the true test facing equities in the years to come.

from Rolfe Winkler:

The inflationary threat to stocks

October 20, 2009

Would inflation be good for stocks?

With the monetary and fiscal spigots open wide, some investors say equities are a good place to be. But David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital has warned that inflation could compress price-to-earnings multiples. A look back to history suggests his fears are warranted.

from Commentaries:

Long on volatility, short on meaning

September 3, 2009

It's hard not to be cynical about what the markets are supposedly telling us this week.