G-zero and the end of the 9/11 era top 2012 risks

January 5, 2012

In a video for Reuters, Ian Bremmer discusses the biggest risks facing the markets in 2012 and says the next phase in the Middle East and the post-9/11 environment pose the greatest uncertainty:

Top Risks of 2012

As we begin 2012, political risks dominate global headlines in a way we’ve not experienced in decades. Everywhere you look in today’s global economy, concerns over insular, gridlocked, or fractured politics affecting markets stare back at you. Continuation of the politically driven crisis in the eurozone appears virtually guaranteed. There is profound instability across the Middle East. Grassroots opposition to entrenched governments is spreading to countries such as Russia and Kazakhstan that were thought more insulated. Nuclear powers North Korea and Pakistan (and soon Iran?) face unprecedented internal political pressure… Read the full top risks report here.


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Somehow nearly no one disputes the reality of a ten-year period known as the “9/11 Era” with the death of Osama bin Laden marking its conclusion. (Yes, I’m still crowing “habeas corpus” despite the larger body of opinion.)

The truth is that any post-911 era could be said to have some reality to it is that it never neatly concluded in an imaginary decade. That’s foolish. If there’s a “post 9/Era” at all it’s that it continues from that original date itself whose beginnings were most clearly made evident by the immense US military aggression that continues unabated and whose many, possibly incomprehensibly numerous, consequences have continued and will continue since the original “9/11″ date.

As a discrete “era” I can see no reality at all to an imaginary decade that we’ve somehow moved beyond while I’m aware of our curious need to create fictional time markers.

Posted by Batchain | Report as abusive

You’re doing a good job describing the risks but what about quantifying them and further depict the negative impacts or positive opportunities that would occur if these risks would materialize. Moving more towards risk analysis rather than risk reporting….

Also for the sake of transparency, who is taking these risks you describe? Global economy is rather vague… be more specific from what perspective you see things. What can be described as a risk for a political segment can be an opportunity for another segment.

Posted by Qeds | Report as abusive