Political risk must-reads
Eurasia Groupâs weekly selection of essential reading for the political-risk junkie â presented in no particular order. As always, feel free to give us your feedback or selections by tweeting at us viaÂ @EurasiaGroupÂ orÂ @ianbremmer.
âIndia, Myanmar, Thailand trilateral highway may start soonâ âÂ The Economic Times
Improved infrastructure to facilitate the transfer of goods from India to Southeast Asia via Myanmar has been in the works since well before Myanmar began opening up. But to date, trade has been âwell below potential,â with two-way commerce between India and Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam and Myanmar at just $8.5 billion in 2012-2013. Can a trilateral highway begin to change that?
âTurkey: PM gives TV reporter âpocket moneyââ âÂ BBC News
Prime Minister Erdoganâs gesture may have been in keeping with the traditions of a Muslim festival, but when he gave 200 Turkish liras to a journalist, it led to significant outcry. After all, this is a country where the limits of press freedom and the connections between journalists and Erdoganâs regime were on full display during the recent anti-government protests.
âMore sophisticated than you thought: A new study reveals how Somali piracy is financedâ âÂ The Economist
Performance bonuses. Reinvesting profits. Professional financing. These may not be the first terms one would most associate with Somali piracy, but they are increasingly applicable.
âCan China Keep Growing At 8% Annually?â âÂ Simon Montlake, Forbes
Is Chinaâs current trajectory as gloomy as people suggest? Or is its slowing growth rate in keeping with the path forged by Asian economic wunderkinds like Japan, Taiwan and South Korea that surged before China and have since developed?
âSanction Side-Step: Iranian Oil Flows Back Into Chinaâ âÂ Wayne Ma, Wall Street Journal
Negotiations between Iran and the West are aimed at trading nuclear program concessions for an easing of the sanctions that have crippled Iranâs economy. But has China exploited gaps in the sanctions law to import Iranian fuel oil in advance of any sanctions relief?
âTrending: The baby making history in Lebanonâ âÂ BBC
For the first time, a child has been born without registering a religious sect on his or her birth certificate. Are there political ramifications?