Political risk must-reads
Political risk must-reads
Eurasia Groupâ€™s selection of essential reading for the political risk junkie — presented in no particular order. As always, feel free to give us your feedback or selections by tweeting at us viaÂ @EurasiaGroupÂ orÂ @ianbremmer.
U.S. diplomacy: failure to launch
Russian Diplomats Are Eating Americaâ€™s Lunch –Â James Bruno, POLITICO Â
Russian ambassadors to the 28 NATO nations have 960 years of diplomatic experience. The same group of U.S. ambassadors has 331 years of experience. Russia has two political appointees serving as ambassadors to NATO countries; America has 16. What impact are these experience and preparedness gaps having in the current Ukraine crisis?
U.S. Confronts Consequences of Underestimating North Korean LeaderÂ – David Sanger, theÂ New York Times
Almost all assumptions made by American intelligence about Kim Jung-un as he rose to power have been wrong. Where does it go from here?
U.S. Foreign Policy: In Troubling DisarrayÂ – Richard Haass, the American Interest
The U.S. president has run into trouble at every turn while implementing his foreign policy agenda. Looking ahead, how can the United States ensure that a nuclear deal with Iran gets done? And where does a beleaguered Obama administration look next?
A Moment of Truth for Indiaâ€™s WomenÂ – William Pesek, Bloomberg View
In India, women account for nearly half of registered voters (47.7 percent in 2009). Thatâ€™s still too far from parity, but itâ€™s a better ratio than their representation in Indiaâ€™s Lower House of parliament: they make up just 11 percent of the Lok Sabha. What impact is the female vote having on campaign strategies?
Not Everyone Has Gotten the Message About BJPâ€™s RebrandingÂ – Joshua Keating, Slate
Narendra Modi, the leading candidate in the Indian elections, has attempted to boost his broad appeal by retreating from his partyâ€™s traditional Hindu nationalism. However, older, incendiary members of the BJP are not going away quietly.
The Muslims voting for Modiâ€™s part in LucknowÂ — Betwa Sharma, Quartz
Many of Lucknowâ€™s 180,000 Shia Muslims are expected to vote for the BJP, despite its prime ministerial candidateâ€™s controversial track record. There was severe violence against Muslims in Gujarat when he was chief minister in 2002. What is spurring them to vote for him?
Ten ways to fight inequality without Pikettyâ€™s wealth taxÂ – Tim Fernholz, Quartz
Thomas Piketty believes that a progressive tax on accumulated wealth is the way to curb inequality. But even he knows this solution is â€śutopian.â€ť Here are ten other policy avenues that could address inequality without going after the wealthy.
Where the U.S. Gets Its Clothing, One Year After the Bangladesh Factory CollapseÂ – Mona Chalabi, FiveThirtyEight
Last week marked the one year anniversary of the garment-factory collapse in Bangladesh that killed more than 1,100 workers. But did the disaster alter importing behavior in the United States? In the year ending in February 2013 the United States imported 5.8 percent of its clothing from Bangladesh. In the year ending in February 2014, one year after the tragedy, that figure rose to 6.3 percent.