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A volatile trading week left investors confused on the direction of markets, and the Nifty ended almost 1 percent lower at 8,780. FIIs were net sellers to the tune of $106 million during the week.
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A volatile week saw the Nifty surging on Tuesday after weak U.S. jobs data, with liquidity gushing in for the next two days followed by a correction on Friday after the ECB left policy rates unchanged. The decision gives room for the U.S. Fed to consider raising interest rates in the near term, which is likely to hit inflows to emerging markets like India. North Korea’s nuclear test also seemed to rattle sentiment. The Nifty finally closed at 8,866, up about 0.7 percent.
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Markets led by large-caps conquered Nifty 8,800 levels after a gap of 18 months. Measures announced by the government to revive the construction sector boosted sentiment, while disappointing GDP numbers were shrugged off by investors as a revival in growth is seen on the back of a good monsoon and an expected boost in consumption due to a hike in the pay of current and former government employees.
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Markets remained sideways in the absence of any major trigger and the Nifty ended the week lower by 1 percent at 8,592. The index failed to breach the 8,700-8,750 band yet again as caution prevailed ahead of a speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who told a global monetary policy conference after Indian markets closed on Friday that the case for a rate increase in the U.S. had grown stronger.
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Markets in India continued to see consolidation for the sixth week in a row. Mid-cap and small-cap indexes outperformed the benchmark, gaining more than 2 percent for the week. The lack of triggers and an earnings season in line with expectations has led to markets trading sideways for the past few weeks. The rupee ended the week at 67.05 per dollar.
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A spirited rally on Friday ensured that the Nifty closed flat in a week marked by indecisiveness. With the Goods and Services Tax (GST) bill out of the way, market participants were left with no immediate near-term triggers. RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan’s last policy review had little impact on markets, as most had expected him to maintain status quo.
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The passage of the goods and services tax (GST) bill in the Rajya Sabha was already factored in by markets, which explains the lack of stock movement after the landmark event. We instead saw profit-booking before a late recovery due to a policy rate cut by the Bank of England and hopes of an RBI rate cut. The Nifty gained 0.5 percent for the week while the Sensex ended flat. FIIs were net buyers to the tune of $376 million.
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The Nifty rallied past the psychological mark of 8,500 for the first time in 11 months to close at 8,541. Global markets were buoyed by better-than-expected U.S. jobs data and cheered the victory of Japan’s ruling coalition in the upper house election. PM Shinzo Abe is expected to unveil a fresh stimulus package to help the country’s stagnant economy.
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A broker reacts while trading at his computer terminal at a stock brokerage firm in Mumbai, August 24, 2015. REUTERS/Danish Siddiqui/Files
(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)
File Photo: A stock broker looks at a terminal while trading at a stock brokerage firm in Mumbai