Expert Zone

Straight from the Specialists

China’s WMD cooperation with Pakistan looms over Xi-Modi talks

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

The visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to India and his meeting with Indian Prime Minister  Narendra Modi this week has elicited considerable positive interest in both countries. It has the potential to recast the uneasy Asian strategic framework, and by extension the relations of emerging global powers that are currently clouded by acrimony and mutual mistrust.

India and China are two civilizational states with a quantitative contour and complex pedigree that is both ancient and yet recent. The two Asian giants have a population in excess of one billion and unbroken histories that go back by a few thousand years. Yet their bilateral relations are of very recent origin – when they became independent nation states in the 1940s.

Opting for two very different political systems – one a diverse and federal democracy nurtured by Jawaharlal Nehru and the other a near homogeneous authoritarian communist regime consolidated by Mao Zedong – the received wisdom is that the two neighbours are both committed to ‘peaceful coexistence’ enshrined in the 1954 Panchsheel principles, whose 60th anniversary was marked in Beijing in June.

India Markets Weekahead: Continue pruning your portfolio

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

Markets began the week on an optimistic note with the Nifty touching a new high of 8,178 but fatigue was noticeable in frontline stocks as action shifted to the mid- and small-caps.

How falling crude prices affect India

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

Brent crude prices have dropped below $100 a barrel, causing anxiety within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and giving some relief to India and China. The market is bearish at present but the future is unpredictable.

Where the growth in Q1 came from

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

GA man walks his cow under high-tension power lines leading from a Tata Power sub station in Mumbai's suburbs February 10, 2013. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/FilesDP growth of 5.7 percent in the April-June quarter was unexpected in view of the southward drift of India’s economy over the past two years. No wonder it pepped up the Bharatiya Janata Party-led government at a time when the ruling coalition is listing its achievements after 100 days in office. The question is where this growth came from and whether it will be sustained in future.

India’s economy has been slowing after achieving 9 percent growth three years ago. That was because the Congress-led government failed to fuel the economy. The absence of policy reforms, paralytic governance – combined with persistent inflation – discouraged investment. Growth tapered to 4.7 percent last year.

India Markets Weekahead: Time to prune positions in an extended honeymoon

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The Nifty closed at a new closing high of 7,954 amid volatility in an eventful week that started with the Supreme Court ruling that the allocation of more than 200 coal blocks over the past two decades was illegal.

With nearly 3 trillion rupees at stake, this had a direct effect on the metals and power sector. It also affected banking, which has exposure to the two sectors.

Why inflation is so persistent

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Inflation has been high for nearly four years and has not responded to the policies of the Reserve Bank of India or the central government. This is because the kind of inflation that we have is of an unusual variety and cannot be checked by conventional means.

It is important to look at the numbers. In July, the consumer price index (CPI) was up 8 percent and threatens to crawl up further after a deficient monsoon. That’s because 68 percent of the increase in CPI comes from food.

Long-term motor insurance might just work

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

A large number of two-wheelers on Indian roads are uninsured. This is not due to high annual premiums, but because the perceived benefits of taking an insurance policy are just not apparent.

Let us briefly look at the major risks associated with having a vehicle on the roads:

A call to action to galvanize momentum around maternal, child health in India

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The last decade has witnessed one of the most sincere, dedicated and coordinated efforts toward addressing global development and healthcare challenges. National and international policymakers, development partners and researchers have come together to work toward a common vision of a better and healthier world.

In September 2000, building upon a decade of dialogue, world leaders unanimously adopted the United Nations Millennium Declaration. In doing so, they committed to a new global partnership to reduce extreme poverty and laid out a series of time-bound targets with a deadline of 2015 that have come to be known as the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).

India Markets Weekahead: ‎Tough for the Nifty to break out of its range

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The Nifty continued its upward trajectory to close at a two-week high of 7,792 in a holiday-truncated week. However, this optimism was not reflected in the broader market, especially the mid caps and small caps.

Among the sectors, public sector banks, realty, infrastructure and capital goods, which led the rally earlier, have underperformed in the last few weeks whereas defensives such as FMCG, pharma and IT stood out, an irony when markets are close to a record high.

India Markets Weekahead: Quality stocks to stand out in next rally

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Reality finally dawned on the markets and we saw a sharp correction in the last two trading sessions. The Nifty closed at a two-week low of 7603, down 2.41 percent for the week.

Modi mania seems to have abated temporarily and international developments played a bigger role in influencing sentiments. The quarterly results have so far been mixed but decisively points to a slower growth this quarter.

  • Editors & Key Contributors