Expert Zone

Straight from the Specialists

South China Sea: The zero-sum game

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author, and not necessarily of Thomson Reuters)

The Chinese have shown far greater alacrity in resolving disputes over land boundaries with neighbours than in drawing lines across international waters that they claim. A nation with land borders with 14 countries has settled its disputes with 10 of them, but finds it difficult to resolve its problems in the South China Sea.

China’s claim lines envelop almost the entire sea. China and Vietnam already fought over the South China Sea in 1974 and 1988, and the Philippines, Brunei, Taiwan, Malaysia and Indonesia are also vocal about what they say are Chinese transgressions into their waters.

The South China Sea is enviable maritime real estate. Through it run sea lanes that provide passage for more than half the world’s oil tanker traffic. Its hydrocarbon and mineral resources reportedly are substantial. Fishing rights also are essential for every country in the region.

Budget 2013: Balancing fiscal prudence and populism

Photo
-

(Rajiv Deep Bajaj is the Vice Chairman and Managing Director of Bajaj Capital Ltd. The views expressed in this column are his own and do not represent those of Reuters)

With a four-month equity rally showing signs of fatigue, the focus is on Budget 2013 to provide further impetus.

India Markets Weekahead: Prudent to wait for the budget

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author, and not necessarily of Thomson Reuters)

After showing promise early in the week, the markets turned gloomy on Thursday with a sharp correction, ending the week with a 0.63 percent fall at 5850 – close to the support levels of 5840 which hasn’t been violated on a closing basis.

Budget 2013: Time for a responsible budget

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author, and not necessarily of Thomson Reuters)

Finance Minister P. Chidambaram has promised a “responsible” budget this time around. According to Webster’s dictionary, “responsibility” is associated with a legal or moral accountability, reliability, trustworthiness in relation with some burden.

Budget 2013: Eye on short-term and long-term objectives

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Reuters)

India’s annual budget always attracts a lot of interest and this year’s edition will be especially important. Budget 2013 is not just significant because it’s the last to be tabled before parliamentary elections due next year but also in light of economic headwinds.

Areas that require immediate attention include the need to invigorate investment, pacify rating agencies, lower subsidies, address structural bottlenecks and jump-start domestic growth. This will require the administration to make tough choices. A turnaround in investment, in particular, is unlikely in the short term.

Budget 2013: What the oil and gas sector expects

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Reuters)

India’s oil and gas sector, often regarded as the country’s growth engine, has grown by leaps and bounds over the past decade, but the quest to reach the top of global league remains a challenge because of rising under-recoveries and lack of policy incentives.

The sector is a key revenue earner for the central and state governments. In 2011/12, it contributed 2,327.69 billion rupees to central and state governments in taxes, accounting for 20.6 percent of total indirect taxes.

Budget 2013: Reduce fiscal deficit, make poor richer

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Reuters)

A lot of expectations are riding on this year’s budget. And it’s not difficult to see why.

The last 18 months or so have been poor for the Indian economy with decelerating growth and a relatively weak currency reflecting the widening current account deficit. The persistence of inflation had kept the RBI on hold and this did not help the stock market. Financial scandals and seeming political indecision as far as deregulating the economy, at least till recently, were not conducive to confidence.

Pension plans are making a comeback

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Reuters)

Life insurance companies had all but exited the pension sector after tough regulations were put in place to guarantee returns for the investor. This is a vital sector for insurance companies and hit overall business.

In 2010/11, new business of 122 billion rupees was added in the pension sector. This fell to 111.7 billion rupees in the following fiscal year. Worse, deletions in the business increased from 68.9 billion rupees to 195.2 billion rupees last year — surely that would have hurt.

Budget 2013: Consistent reforms, effective execution is the key

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Reuters)

In what is widely perceived to be the UPA government’s final budget before polls due next year, Finance Minister P. Chidambaram is likely to continue with the economic reforms he introduced in recent months.

Although these policy announcements may have boosted sentiment, the key to long-term economic growth is consistency, transparency and speed, followed by effective execution on the ground.

Budget 2013: Chidambaram’s chance to bell the cat

Photo
-

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Reuters)

This year’s budget will be an interesting one and it will hopefully be more pragmatic than populist.

Not much has changed since Pranab Mukherjee presented the budget in 2012. At the time, India was battling high inflation at 9 percent, fiscal deficit at 5.9 percent of GDP and a current account deficit (CAD) at 4.2 percent of GDP.

  • Editors & Key Contributors