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Markets displayed a spirited bounce-back after nearly four weeks of decline with the Nifty closing at 7,789, or 1.7 percent higher, on the back of supportive global cues and several reforms by the government.
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Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s trip to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) last month was important in many ways, not least because it was the first visit to the gulf country by an Indian premier in 34 years.
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Markets had their worst weekly fall in about four years with the Nifty closing at a 13-month low of 7,655 amid weak global cues and disappointing domestic data. Even the government’s decision to waive retrospective imposition of a minimum alternative tax (MAT) affecting foreign funds failed to lift investor sentiments. Foreign portfolio investors continued to sell heavily, resulting in net outflow of $470 million.
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A turbulent week saw the Nifty closing down 3.6 percent at 8,002, but this seems a marginal loss considering Monday’s intraday crash where the index touched a low of 7,667, its sharpest fall in 30 months. The week saw net selling to the tune of $1.9 billion by foreign portfolio investors with mid- and small-caps facing the maximum brunt.
There is a complex web of interconnectedness between a slowing China, a recovering India, a restless exchange rate, and elusive exports. However, as we parse through these, a single message emerges – structural reforms to strengthen domestic markets may more than offset possible disruptions caused by an economic slowdown in China.
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It was a week of contrasts with the Nifty trying to break above 8,500 levels during the first three days till cracks appeared on Thursday, which led to a sharp fall. Though the index recovered to about 8,300 from the lows of 8,235, there was an underlying fear that adverse international sentiments may have an overbearing effect on India’s markets.
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The Nifty closed the week slightly lower at 8,518 but markets were volatile and threatened to break 8,350 levels before a spirited rally. Hopes of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) ahead of its September monetary policy review and chances of a special parliament session for the Goods and Services Tax (GST) bill turned sentiment positive even as global cues remained weak.
(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)
Markets remained flattish throughout the week in the absence of any trigger after the RBI maintained status quo on repo rates, with the Nifty ending up around 0.4 percent at 8,564.
(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)
Markets had a volatile July series expiry, and a spate of events like the monsoon session of parliament, the U.S. Fed meeting and June quarter results kept stocks edgy.
(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)
There is no doubt that India’s growth has not picked up in line with expectations. In fact, most activity indicators — whether it’s manufacturing growth, corporate earnings, power generation, passenger vehicle sales, exports growth or non-food credit offtake of commercial banks — have shown increasing weakness in recent months.