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Straight from the Specialists

India market weekahead – Watch out for Greece and RBI policy review

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

The markets remained highly volatile during the entire week as investors remained ambivalent about the likely outcome of the elections in Greece and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) policy meet.

Concerns again emanated about India’s ‘long-term growth story’ from the warning issued by Standard & Poor’s that India could become the first BRIC nation to lose its coveted investment-grade rating if it doesn’t revive its growth and push the pedal on reforms.

Global indices too rallied on reports the central banks of major economies are ready to provide liquidity if needed after the crucial elections in Greece.

India Market Weekahead: Book out partially to play safe

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

After a sell-off in May, the mood has turned upbeat so far in June with benchmark indices hitting a one-month high against our expectation last week that the markets could remain subdued.

India Market Weekahead – Brace for lows

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

Equities reacted sharply due to continued concerns over the euro zone crisis and particularly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth numbers which were much below the most pessimistic forecast. Minor relief in the form of favourable opinion polls in Greece along with expectations for a policy stimulus in China to support growth failed to provide the necessary impetus to take the Nifty beyond the 5000 mark on a sustainable basis.

India Market Weekahead – Policy action, rupee to decide market direction

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

The week gone by displayed indecisiveness by participants as the markets garnered small gains after moving in a tight range. The Nifty managed to hold on to the 4900 level mark as investors cheered the government’s announcement to raise petrol prices in an attempt to revive the policy inaction tag.

India Market Weekahead – Time to start buying

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

May is typically a bear month for the stock markets as players often look to take advantage of the adage, ‘sell in May and go away’. Before going on vacation, I was expecting the markets to correct to levels of 5000/5050 but was pleasantly surprised to see the crack leading to around 4800 levels. All the negative factors compounded over the past few weeks gave momentum to the ‘sell’ sentiment which remained jittery over the fate of Greece after an inconclusive election.

India Market Weekahead – Time to “sell in May and go away”?

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

Markets were jolted this week by news that Standard & Poor’s cut India’s long-term rating outlook to negative from stable, citing slowing growth and a ballooning current account deficit. The negative outlook signals at least a one-in-three likelihood of the downgrade of India’s sovereign rating within the next 24 months.

India Market Weekahead – Volatile market within a narrow range

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

A sharper-than-expected cut of 50 basis points in the repo rate boosted the benchmark indices early during the week. However, as expected, the Nifty could not gain higher than 5350 as apprehensions about the limited scope of further rate cuts suppressed sentiment.

Global cues likely to dominate market

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

The Indian market ended with minor gains in a truncated week as data showing slowdown in growth in the services sector in March and weak global stocks hurt sentiment.

India Market Weekahead: Brace for volatility within a range

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

It was a topsy-turvy week for markets as the benchmark indices hovered between positive and negative territory to finally end with a loss of 0.7 percent. A lacklustre budget initially triggered the weakness followed by a spate of negative events resulting in a fifth consecutive week of decline for the markets. The newly appointed railway minister’s move to roll back fares also unnerved investors.

India Market Weekahead: Global markets, FII action to be primary drivers

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(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)

It was a flattish close for the markets in what was supposed to be an eventful week. But the biggest event — the budget – turned out to be a non-event.

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