Straight from the Specialists
(The views expressed in this column are the author’s own and do not represent those of Reuters)
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is fixated on inflation and with that rigid mindset it is difficult to expect any liberalisation of monetary policy. But there are other parameters that have changed. Food inflation was down in September if that is any comfort. More than that, the budget deficit will be reduced with a cut in subsidies on diesel. There are also initiatives being taken on reforms. Obviously, the RBI needs to tune its policy to fit the new situation. If the RBI does change its stance, what instrument is it likely to use?
Monetary policy offers choices to address economic problems and the RBI has been using them from time to time. Two competing options are cutting the repo rate and a reduction in cash reserve ratio (CRR). The latter has been used by the RBI more frequently than most other central banks. Major central banks view the CRR as the minimum balance that commercial banks must have to be converted into cash whenever required. It is generally less than 3 percent of deposits. But CRR is not a policy instrument to manipulate liquidity.
But that is what the RBI does, even though it can achieve the same results from open market operations. With CRR, liquidity change is not directly related to the market rate of interest. It reduces the overall cost of funds and makes it possible for banks to reduce the lending rate without reducing the rate on deposits. Open market operations involve purchase and sale of securities and raise or reduce the market rate of interest while manipulating liquidity.
The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) monetary policy states that “..it is relevant to assess as to what extent high interest rates are affecting economic growth. Estimates suggest that real effective bank lending interest rates, though positive, remain comparatively lower than the levels seen during the growth phase of 2003-08. This suggests that factors other than interest rates are contributing more significantly to the growth slowdown.”