Expert Zone

As China slows, India has what it takes provided it strengthens defences

By Pranjul Bhandari
August 27, 2015

There is a complex web of interconnectedness between a slowing China, a recovering India, a restless exchange rate, and elusive exports. However, as we parse through these, a single message emerges – structural reforms to strengthen domestic markets may more than offset possible disruptions caused by an economic slowdown in China.

Markets Weekahead: Volatility to continue

By Ambareesh Baliga
July 12, 2015

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

India’s growth outlook keeps getting better

By Nimesh Shah
December 8, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

Where the growth in Q1 came from

September 1, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

GA man walks his cow under high-tension power lines leading from a Tata Power sub station in Mumbai's suburbs February 10, 2013. REUTERS/Vivek Prakash/FilesDP growth of 5.7 percent in the April-June quarter was unexpected in view of the southward drift of India’s economy over the past two years. No wonder it pepped up the Bharatiya Janata Party-led government at a time when the ruling coalition is listing its achievements after 100 days in office. The question is where this growth came from and whether it will be sustained in future.

Markets Weekahead: After new Modi govt, correction to continue for a few weeks

By Ambareesh Baliga
June 1, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

After a dream run for markets, we witnessed a correction last week with the Nifty declining about 1.86 percent to close at 7,229. The smaller stocks also paused — the NSE mid-cap index lost about 4.5 percent.

India Markets Weekahead: Markets back on track for pre-election rally

By Ambareesh Baliga
March 2, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The week started on a sombre note but with institutional activity picking up, the Nifty closed with gains of 1.97 percent at 6276 despite a mid-week trading holiday. Political activity also gained momentum with 11 parties coming together to form a Third Front to oppose both national parties.

Slow pick-up in India’s GDP growth

February 10, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

GDP estimates by the Central Statistics Office for the 2013-14 fiscal year show an improvement over the previous year. But the extent of improvement is too small for comfort. Possibly, in the final revision, that small margin may disappear or even turn negative.

How much will U.S. recovery help India?

January 10, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

After a prolonged slowdown, the U.S. economy is finally showing signs of recovery though much of it comes from investment in inventories and may not be sustained at the present high rate.

India Markets Weekahead: Results of state elections a key driver

By Ambareesh Baliga
November 24, 2013

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Markets had been on a roller-coaster ride but closed weak for the third week in the row with the Nifty in the 5950-6000 range providing support.

Rajan panel proposals not a cure for disparity among states

October 3, 2013

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The report of a committee headed by Raghuram Rajan on backward states has drawn attention to development disparities among states in India. Not that these were not known or assessed before. The report offers an index for identification of states according to the degree of backwardness and their share of financial assistance from the central government.