Expert Zone

India Markets Weekahead: Poised for a rally

January 31, 2016

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

sensex1.jpgA sharp recovery towards the end of the week helped the Nifty gain nearly 2 percent to close above 7,550. Positions were lighter after derivatives expiry and the markets seemed to be looking at the bright side after a steep correction despite lacklustre corporate results and a weakening rupee. FIIs continued their selling spree with net selling of $171.5 million.

India Markets Weekahead: Build your portfolio as markets consolidate

October 4, 2015

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The Nifty closed a percent higher to end the truncated week at 7,951 after threatening to fall below crucial support levels prior to the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy review. The bigger-than-expected 50 bps repo rate cut surprised markets, resulting in a robust pull-back.

India Markets Weekahead: Buy into the consolidation

September 13, 2015

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Markets displayed a spirited bounce-back after nearly four weeks of decline with the Nifty closing at 7,789, or 1.7 percent higher, on the back of supportive global cues and several reforms by the government.

Markets Weekahead: Short on cues, high on sentiment

August 16, 2015

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The Nifty closed the week slightly lower at 8,518 but markets were volatile and threatened to break 8,350 levels before a spirited rally. Hopes of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) ahead of its September monetary policy review and chances of a special parliament session for the Goods and Services Tax (GST) bill turned sentiment positive even as global cues remained weak.

India Markets Weekahead: Another opportunity to lighten commitments

August 2, 2015

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Markets had a volatile July series expiry, and a spate of events like the monsoon session of parliament, the U.S. Fed meeting and June quarter results kept stocks edgy.

Little chance of an RBI rate cut

September 24, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

Currencies and the collapse of globalisation

June 17, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

We live in stirring times. The president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, crossed the monetary policy Rubicon and cut one of the euro area’s key interest rates into negative territory. This is dramatic stuff, as even the most economically oblivious are likely to recognise that negative interest rates are a radical policy.A picture illustration of Euro banknotes and coins taken in central Bosnian town of Zenica

Why the RBI raised interest rates

January 29, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised interest rates at its review on Jan 28. The justification usually given for doing so is inflation.

Which inflation should the RBI target?

November 25, 2013

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is entrusted with the responsibility of maintaining price and financial stability, and it has used interest rate and money supply to pursue this objective with unwavering determination. Yet, inflation has survived with matching persistence.

Need to rebalance RBI’s interest structure

October 23, 2013

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

In its mid-quarterly monetary policy review last month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) made some hasty changes in the interest structure. The repo rate was raised possibly because of the rise in inflation and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate was cut after the rupee recovered against the dollar. The interest structure is still lopsided with short rates exceeding long rates. This anomaly needs to be corrected.