Expert Zone

India Markets Weekahead – Be fearful of greedy street

By Ambareesh Baliga
December 7, 2014

(Opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The past week belonged to individual stocks as the Nifty took a breather, closing with a small loss of 0.45 percent at 8,538. A host of stocks related to defence, railways and power ancillaries hogged the limelight on hopes of huge order flows. Jewellery stocks rallied after the government relaxed gold import norms.

Little chance of an RBI rate cut

September 24, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters)

India Markets Weekahead: ‎Tough for the Nifty to break out of its range

By Ambareesh Baliga
August 17, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The Nifty continued its upward trajectory to close at a two-week high of 7,792 in a holiday-truncated week. However, this optimism was not reflected in the broader market, especially the mid caps and small caps.

India Market Weekahead: Ride the election rally with some caution

By Ambareesh Baliga
April 6, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are not those of Thomson Reuters)

The Nifty touched a high of 6758 during the week, part of a market rally for 10 consecutive sessions – the longest streak in five years.‎ An overdue correction set in towards the end of the week with the Nifty ending flat at 6694.

Why the RBI raised interest rates

January 29, 2014

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised interest rates at its review on Jan 28. The justification usually given for doing so is inflation.

Rajan panel proposals not a cure for disparity among states

October 3, 2013

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

The report of a committee headed by Raghuram Rajan on backward states has drawn attention to development disparities among states in India. Not that these were not known or assessed before. The report offers an index for identification of states according to the degree of backwardness and their share of financial assistance from the central government.

India Markets Weekahead: Lack of positive triggers in the near term

By Ambareesh Baliga
September 29, 2013

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

Indian markets are in a corrective phase after RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan’s monetary policy review on Sept. 20 put a damper on investor expectations. If Rajan had played to the galleries, we would have seen a stock market bubble. The move from pessimism to euphoria — a rally of nearly 20 percent in less than three weeks — without any perceptible change in ground realities, would have led to a bull trap. Though participation levels were not high, FIIs had turned buyers and it would have been a matter of time before dormant market participants jumped into the fray.

Was the repo rate hike necessary?

September 21, 2013

The decision of the U.S. Federal Reserve to delay tapering its bond purchases cheered markets, and more so in India because they were convinced of a second bonanza from the RBI. But new Governor Raghuram Rajan gave the markets a jolt by turning hawkish and increasing the repo rate.

India Market Weekahead – Volatility expected ahead of RBI policy review

By Ambareesh Baliga
September 15, 2013

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

After a rally of 500 points on the Nifty, markets consolidated at slightly higher levels to close at 5850 this week. It’s evident that hope keeps the market ticking — this time it was various measures by the new RBI governor, Raghuram Rajan,that cheered the markets.

Raghuram Rajan and the rupee

September 12, 2013

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not of Thomson Reuters)

With Raghuram Rajan taking over as the governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), it’ll make for a change in the central bank’s policy perception.