India Insight

Tracking Sensex: Top losers, gainers of the week

By Ankush Arora and Aditya Kalra

Gains of 1.9 percent on Friday helped the Sensex recover some of its losses but the benchmark still ended down 1.3 percent for the week. The index ended in the red for three of five trading sessions this week.

Indian markets largely ignored Fitch’s rating outlook upgrade and Finance Minister P. Chidambaram’s pledge to do more for the economy. Ahead of Monday’s Reserve Bank of India policy review, data showed May inflation stood at 4.7 percent. However, recent weakness in the rupee and a high current account deficit are some of the factors that dampen hopes of a rate cut.

Here are the top five Sensex losers of the week:

JINDAL STEEL AND POWER (JSPL): Shares in JSPL, which ended with losses of 13.21 percent this week, were battered after the Central Bureau of Investigation registered a case against the company over coal mining rights. Shares of the company, controlled by Congress MP Naveen Jindal, have had a rough year so far, losing more than 45 percent.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services upgraded the stock to ‘neutral’ on June 11, as it believed the sharp correction in the stock called for a review, even as fundamentals of JSPL’s businesses remain challenging.

TATA POWER: The power producer was the second worst Sensex performer this week, ending with losses of 8.7 percent near its 52-week low. The stock is also among the worst Sensex performers of 2013, having lost more than a quarter of its value.

Markets struggle: At least 100 stocks hit 52-week low on NSE

Indian markets struggled in trade on Thursday with the Sensex falling more than 200 points while the Nifty sank over 50 points. Weak Asian markets also weighed as the Nikkei slumped more than 800 points on worries the U.S. Fed would trim its stimulus programme in the coming months.

The rupee also remained weak, trading below 58 versus the dollar, as Finance Minister P. Chidambaram did not announce any concrete steps to arrest its fall.

At least 100 stocks had touched their 52-week low on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) during trade, data showed. Here’s a look at some stocks that hit a one-year low during Thursday’s trade:

Fitch revises India outlook; recent views of other rating agencies

Fitch Ratings revised India’s sovereign rating outlook to “stable” from “negative” on the back of measures taken by the government to contain the budget deficit, it said in a statement on Wednesday. The rating agency had cut India’s outlook to negative in June 2012 and currently has a BBB- rating for the country.

“Fitch expects the government to broadly meet its FY14 budget deficit target of 4.8 percent of GDP (including privatisation receipts) and to gradually reduce the high level of public debt over the medium-term,” the rating agency said.

An acceleration in economic reforms that leads to a material improvement in potential growth rate consistent with stable consumer price inflation and external balance could be one of the factors that could trigger a positive rating action, it added.

The biggest losers in India’s economic slowdown

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not those of Thomson Reuters Corp.)

The reaction to news that India’s economy grew at its slowest rate in over a decade was predictable. There was frustration over squandered potential, pleas for a rate cut, unshaken optimism and even an opportunity to indulge in clever wordplay. Yet as everyone from economists to businessmen had their say, the demographic affected most by this slowdown was silent – India’s poor.

One of the big successes of India’s economic growth has been its positive impact on poverty reduction. The percentage of the country’s population living below the poverty line declined from 37.2 percent in 2005 to 29.8 percent in 2010 (the last year when exact numbers were available). That translates to 52 million Indians who have been lifted above the poverty line. Encouraging as those gains are, the country still counts over 320 million poor among its citizens.

L&T Infra Finance CEO upbeat on India’s economic recovery by 2015

India’s economy recorded its slowest growth in a decade in the fiscal year ending in March but the CEO of L&T Infrastructure Finance, that provides loans to companies such as Jaypee Group to develop roads and other infrastructure, is hopeful of an economic turnaround in less than two years that will boost business prospects.

The company, part of India’s largest engineering and construction conglomerate Larsen & Toubro, will likely end up dealing with a slowdown in business growth in the current financial year, but might bounce right back next year if the winner of India’s federal elections due in 2014 starts spending on infrastructure projects.

Reuters spoke to Chief Executive Officer Suneet Maheshwari about his outlook for the industry and the Indian economy. Here are excerpts from the interview:

In a mixed year for lenders, IndusInd Bank shines

Rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India, new bank licence norms, bad loan worries and money laundering accusations – Indian banks are firmly in the public eye in 2013.

Going by stock returns, lenders have had a mixed year so far. The BSE banking sub-index has gained less than 1 percent, as compared to the benchmark Sensex’s return of nearly 3 percent. Big banks such as the State Bank of India have lost 13 percent while HDFC Bank has gained around 4 percent. Some smaller players have struggled, with IDBI and Bank of Baroda falling more than 20 percent.

Small private lender IndusInd Bank, which focuses on retail lending, has been the star performer with gains of around 25 percent, making it the best performing stock in the 14-share banking index in 2013, data showed.

Smokers ignore India’s public smoking ban

(Any opinions expressed here are those of the author and not necessarily those of Thomson Reuters Corp.)

It’s been nearly five years since India banned smoking in public places, but you wouldn’t know it from talking to Sugandha. The jeans-clad woman in her twenties is standing at a subway entrance in New Delhi as a man smokes a cigarette a few steps away, indifferent to how the fumes annoy passersby.

“We can’t say anything to anyone,” she said. “They won’t take it positively.”

India GDP: What the economists are predicting

Investors and policymakers will be closely watching India’s fourth-quarter and full fiscal year 2012/13 gross domestic product (GDP) growth figures on Friday.

The economy grew 4.5 percent in the December quarter, but a Reuters poll has shown that Asia’s third-largest economy will likely perform a little better and expand by 4.8 percent in the quarter that ended in March.

For the financial year 2013, the government had estimated the economy will grow 5 percent, the lowest in a decade. However, if the poll consensus proves right, full-year growth will be worse than the government’s estimate.

Reliance Industries posts biggest single-day gain since Sept 2012

Reliance Industries, India’s third-biggest company by market capitalization, surged more than 5 percent on Monday, after the conglomerate and its partners said on Friday they had made a significant gas discovery in the KG-D6 block.

Niko, the Canadian oil and natural gas producer which partners with Reliance and BP, said the discovery is expected to add to gas resources in the block without revealing potential reserves.

The blue-chip stock ended with gains of 5.3 percent at 828.30 rupees, posting its biggest single-day percentage gain since Sept 14, 2012. The stock, however, is still down around 13 percent from its 2013 high hit on Jan 21.

Tracking Sensex: Top five losers, gainers this week

By Sankalp Phartiyal and Aditya Kalra

It was a tough week for Indian shares as the BSE Sensex fell nearly 3 percent and the Nifty lost 3.3 percent as U.S. Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke’s suggestion that stimulus measures may be scaled back at one of their next few meetings dented sentiment.

Weak factory output data from China also spooked global markets, with the Nikkei plummeting more than 7 percent on Thursday.

Here are the top five Sensex gainers and losers for the week ending May 24:

LOSERS

State Bank of India (SBI): India’s largest lender was the worst Sensex performer this week with losses of 11.3 percent, taking a hit after posting its first quarterly net loss in two years on Thursday.

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