James Pethokoukis

Politics and policy from inside Washington

America’s AAA bond rating

May 22, 2009

Will America’s lose its AAA S&P bond rating? Not anytime soon, says the econ team at Wachovia:

Any downgrade to the United States’ bond rating is not imminent. Some analysts speculated that any downgrade, should one even occur, probably would not happen for 3 or 4 years. In response to the concerns over the government’s fiscal position, Treasury Secretary Geithner said that the Obama administration is committed to bringing the budget deficit down “to a sustainable level over the medium term.”

Concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook are not likely to disappear just because the Treasury Secretary uttered a few reassuring words. Therefore, the dollar could remain under downward pressure, at least in the near term. However, the scrutiny on the U.S. fiscal outlook will probably fade over time, and investors will likely start to re-focus on growth prospects.

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