James Pethokoukis

Politics and policy from inside Washington

Independents souring on Obamanomics (Virginia version)

July 9, 2009

Very interesting (via Politico):

A Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia found Obama’s approval and disapproval numbers effectively tied, with independents disapproving of the president’s job performance, 52 percent to 38 percent. “That is fairly consistent with all our polling around the country — Obama tends to be really well-liked personally, but he’s starting to lose a majority of the independents,” said Public Policy’s Dean Debnam. Democrats have “had long enough in some voters’ minds that they’re getting blame for nothing happening, and Republicans are scaring them around health care and tax increases.”

And Obama, of course, isn’t up for reelection anytime soon, and even nervous Democratic congressmen can keep their fingers crossed for economic recovery over the next year.

“It’s been more or less inevitable that we’re going to see some decline in numbers for Democrats,” said Mark Mellman, another Democratic pollster. “For most folks, there’s not an election until 2010, and most economists suggest that by the time we get to 2010, we’re going to see the beginnings of an uptick in the economy.”

My spin: Is Mellman taking into account a possible jobless recovery? Upticks in GDP ain’t going to cut, I don’t believe.

Comments

I remember when Charles Krauthammer said back in January that Obama would start to own the recession 6 months into his term. Alot of people laughed at that prediction and said it wouldn’t be until 1-2 years into his term that he would own it. But now, based on all the polling, he was right on.

Posted by Tony Franjie | Report as abusive
 

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