The state of the housing market … at this very moment!
A housing bottom is not a boom. My guy Ed Yardeni sums things up nicely (bold is mine):
The unemployment rate was 9.5% in June, the highest since the summer of 1983. Average hourly earnings was up 2.7% y/y during the month, the lowest since September 2005. The CPI tenant rent index was also up 2.7% y/y in June, the lowest since November 2004. This is not a scenario that triggers a V bottom in home prices. But then why does the latest batch of home prices suggest that they’ve stopped falling? Bear markets don’t last forever. In many neighborhoods prices are down 25%-35% from their peaks. Housing affordability has soared. While many young adults may have moved in with mom and dad to save on rent, household formation tends to run over 1 million per year, even during bad times. In other words, there is underlying demand for houses, and they are certainly more affordable.