James Pethokoukis

Bernanke nomination in more trouble than you think

December 22, 2009

Ben Bernanke’s close escape from the Senate Banking Committee sets him up for a record number of final “no” votes on his renomination as Federal Reserve chairman. A second term is still overwhelmingly likely. But such unprecedented disapproval suggests Bernanke will be a 2010 campaign issue. That could make the Fed ever more susceptible to political pressure when it comes to tighten the easy money spigot.

The bear case on healthcare reform

December 22, 2009

So now what? My pal Rich Lowry takes a crack at the bear case for healthcare reform. His main points:

Rasmussen: Obama approval ratings at new low

December 22, 2009

Pollster Rasmussen indicates that healthcare is not helping the POTUS:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 25% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-three percent (46%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -21 That’s the lowest Approval Index rating yet recorded for this President. … For the second straight day, the update shows the highest level of Strong Disapproval yet recorded for this President. That negative rating had never topped 42% before yesterday. However, it has risen dramatically since the Senate found 60 votes to move forward with the proposed health care reform legislation. Most voters (55%) oppose the health care legislation and senior citizens are even more likely than younger voters to dislike the plan.

Copenhagen a eulogy for US cap-and-trade

December 22, 2009

I have been saying for some time that I do not think Congress is going to pass cap-and-trade in 2010, or probably ever. (I think the threat of EPA action is empty given the flurry of litigation that would surely follow.) My Reuters news pals seem to agree somewhat and paint an alternate scenario:

Political impact of surprisingly weak 3Q GDP

December 22, 2009

First, the Commerce Department:

Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States — increased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in the third quarter of2009, (that is, from the second quarter to the third quarter), according to the “third” estimatereleased by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP decreased 0.7 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “second” estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 2.8 percent.

The political blowback from healthcare reform

December 18, 2009

Kim Strassel of the WSJ states her case:

1) Consider North Dakota. A recent Zogby poll showed 28% (you read that right) of state voters support “reform.” A full 40% said they’d be less likely to vote for Democratic Sen. Byron Dorgan next year if he supports a bill. In a theoretical matchup with Republican Gov. John Hoeven (who has yet to announce), Mr. Hoeven wins 55% to 36%. Mr. Dorgan has been in the Senate 17 years; he won his last election with 68% of the vote.

A 2012 GOP presidential nomination ranking

December 18, 2009

Campaign consultant Mark McKinnon give his two cents, followed by mine in italics:

While Obama talks in Copenhagen, support in US crumbles

December 18, 2009

Here is what the POTUS told COP15:

I believe we can act boldly, and decisively, in the face of a common threat. That’s why I come here today — not to talk, but to act.

Greenspan agrees with me: Save the stock market, save the world

December 18, 2009

All year I have been saying a great way to boost the economy is to boost the stock market. Make it easier to raise capital and restores net worth. Now Alan Greenspan is saying the same thing:

What healthcare reform 2.0 might look like

December 16, 2009

Let’s assume, for the moment, that the latest version of the shape-shifting U.S. healthcare reform legislation may not worsen U.S. finances in the short term. But do the deficit math, and it doesn’t reduce long-term spending enough. The curve won’t get bent.