Comments on: Black swans, good and bad, for 2010 http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/2010/01/04/black-swans-good-and-bad-for-2010/ Politics and policy from inside Washington Sun, 07 Apr 2013 21:23:48 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.2 By: ekaneti http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/2010/01/04/black-swans-good-and-bad-for-2010/comment-page-1/#comment-8145 ekaneti Thu, 22 Apr 2010 12:20:23 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/?p=3079#comment-8145 Neither the bull or bear scenario is likely. Many of the scenarios contradict one another. Example an amazing recovery AND the GOP wins both House of congress. Very unlikely that BOTH those would happen. Iranian regime will not fall, but that has nothing to do with the economic recovery, at least short term. The economy can recover AND helicopter Ben will leave the Fed Funds Rate near 0%. With this Fed they can be exclusive. Neither the bull or bear scenario is likely.

Many of the scenarios contradict one another. Example an amazing recovery AND the GOP wins both House of congress. Very unlikely that BOTH those would happen.

Iranian regime will not fall, but that has nothing to do with the economic recovery, at least short term.

The economy can recover AND helicopter Ben will leave the Fed Funds Rate near 0%. With this Fed they can be exclusive.

]]> By: gotthardbahn http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/2010/01/04/black-swans-good-and-bad-for-2010/comment-page-1/#comment-6098 gotthardbahn Mon, 04 Jan 2010 20:14:38 +0000 http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/?p=3079#comment-6098 I've always liked Edward Yardeni, although I don't see him in the media as often as I once did. Good calls, both bull and bear, but I prefer his bullish call. Despite the best efforts of the likes of Bill Gross and Nouriel Roubini, it really isn't any different this time. And it never is! I’ve always liked Edward Yardeni, although I don’t see him in the media as often as I once did. Good calls, both bull and bear, but I prefer his bullish call. Despite the best efforts of the likes of Bill Gross and Nouriel Roubini, it really isn’t any different this time. And it never is!

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