Shock poll: Americans think Bush doing a better job than Obama (and more)

October 28, 2010

Some fascinating numbers from longtime Democratic pollster Doug Schoen (via U.S. News & World Report). Among them: Voters prefer Bush over Obama, want the GOP to control congress, favor extending all the Bush tax cuts, don’t favor another term for Obama and would give Palin nearly 20 percent of the vote if she ran as a third-party presidential candidate.

His survey of 1,000 likely voters finds the following (bold is mine):

The 2010 midterms

– In the generic Congressional midterm election, the Republican Party has a nine-point lead over the Democratic Party, 48% to 39%. 13% are not sure.

– However, when given the choice between a Republican, a Democrat, and a Tea Party candidate for Congress, the Tea Party candidate gains more support (19%) than the Republican candidate (15%). Meanwhile, support for the Democratic Party consolidates (39%) and more voters become undecided (27%).

-- 53% prefer the outcome of this year’s Congressional elections to be a Republican-controlled Congress, while 36% prefer the Democrats to have control.

-- 66% say things in the country are headed on the wrong track, while 26% say they are headed in the right direction. 8% are not sure.

– 57% say the economy is headed on the wrong track, while 31% say it is headed in the right direction. 12% are not sure.

– Those who say they plan to vote for a Republican for Congress do so because they think the Democratic Party is doing a bad job running the country and to oppose Obama’s agenda (37%), and because they agree more with the Party’s position on social issues (17%).

– Those who plan to vote for a Democrat do so to support Obama’s agenda and have the Democrats continue to run the country (34%), and because they agree more with the Party’s position on social issues (30%).

– If the Republicans win one or both houses in Congress, over half (53%) think it is a reaction against the perceived failed policies of Obama and the Democrats in Congress, while 29% think it is because Republican Party special interest groups bought the election. 19% are not sure.

– 39% say the Democratic Party is closer to their views on major issues, while 48% say the Republican Party is closer to their views.

Barack Obama

– Despite voters feelings toward Obama personally, 56% say he does not deserve to be reelected, while 38% say he does deserve to be reelected President.

–  43% say that Barack Obama has been a better president than George W. Bush, while 48% say Bush was a better president than Obama has been.

–  42% approve of the way Obama is performing his job as president, while 57% disapprove. Similarly, 43% approve of President Obama’s handling of the economy, while 55% disapprove

Tea Party movement

– The Tea Party movement has unprecedented, broad-based support. One-quarter now says that they are Tea Party supporters, while 27% say they are opponents. 44% say they are neutral. One-quarter of Tea Party supporters self-identify as members of the Tea Party movement.

– Almost half (49%) say they are looking for someone else to vote for in the next Congressional election, while just 36% say they are inclined to vote to re-elect their representative.

– Support for the Tea Party movement is bipartisan. Tea Party supporters say the movement is a protest against business as usual in Washington (43%) rather than a protest against President Obama (20%), Democrats in Congress (11%), or Republicans in Congress (0%).

– Over half (52%) of Tea Party supporters say they support the movement because it is committed to reducing the federal government’s size and spending and the national debt. 13% support it because it supports personal liberty of the individual.

– 39% have a favorable impression of Karl Rove, while one-third have an unfavorable impression. 28% are not sure.

– 45% have a favorable impression of the Chamber of Commerce, while 26% have an unfavorable impression. 29% are not sure

2012 election

– If a Tea Party candidate is on the 2012 ballot, 32% say they would vote for a Democrat, 19% say a Republican, and 16% say a Tea Party candidate. One-third are not sure.

– In thinking about the 2012 Presidential election, if the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Tea Party candidate Sarah Palin and the election were held today, 40% would vote for Obama. 32% would vote for Romney, and 17% would vote for Palin.

– If the candidates in the 2012 Presidential election were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Tea Party candidate Mike Huckabee, and the election were held today, 40% would vote for Obama. 24% would vote for Romney, and 24% would vote for Huckabee.

Tax cuts and healthcare

– Over three-quarters (77%) favor extending the Bush tax cuts for those making less than $250,000 a year, while just 15% oppose extending them.

– Half favor extending the Bush tax cuts for all Americans, including those making $250,000 or more a year, while 40% oppose this.

– Over half (52%) favor repealing the new health care law that was passed earlier this year, while 38% oppose repealing it.

5 comments

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My my.

The mainstream media has consistently underestimated American anger, and this poll was done by a Democratic pollster, no less! Bush a better president than Obama? Dropping from god to this in less than two years? That takes some doing – or incompetence!

Posted by Gotthardbahn | Report as abusive

[...] For those of you in to such things. [...]

Gotthardbahn, I agree with you. Someone has not done their homework. The only way that the Obama & his “henchmen” will get voted back in is by the underhanded tactics they are using/trying to use… such as : letting illegals vote, letting felons vote, buying votes with free credit cards, gas cards, food etc at the polls…. measures that are not only illegal within themselves but are signs of desperation and vast waste of our taxes!

Posted by mamaw707 | Report as abusive

What exactly is shocking about this? Talk about media bias.

Posted by SamIAmHam | Report as abusive

I’m trying to figure out how this is a “shock” poll. I’m one of those Americans who don’t acquire a bad opinion of someone just because the news media say “he’s bad, he’s bad, he’s bad.” I require facts and reasons. I still haven’t heard anyone say why G.W. Bush was the worst president of all time, the way most leftists characterize him. Conservatives have given a good reason for disliking him, but not for hating him — he was too much of a big spender, which is not conservative. What you news media people don’t get is just because people respond to your Pavlovian methods doesn’t mean they’re not going to drift right out of those opinions just as easily as you “drifted” them into them.

Posted by sendtosw | Report as abusive

There is no way in hell that Bush evens hold a candle to Obama, There’s to much crap being said and I feel it’s the media that is destroying this country with all these lies. If Palin ever was voted in as our President then USA have alot of stupid people…

Posted by Mcq | Report as abusive

[...] a political environment very different than the one that saw him leave Washington two years ago.  In a poll released Oct. 28, 48% say Bush was a better president than Obama has been. With that shift and a Republican resurgence [...]

[...] one for the lefties, a poll shows they would have have Bush as president, as opposed to the [...]

[...] “a war criminal.” You keep thinkin’, Steve. You’re good at that. http://blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokouk is/2010/10/28/shock-poll-americans-think -bush-doing-a-better… [...]