Why midterms could be worse than expected for Dems

November 1, 2010

Nate Silver speculates on why the GOP tidal wave could actually be a tsunami: 1) Once voters start pulling the R lever for one race, it will become habit; 2) Tea Party draws in “unlikely voters” that pollsters are missing; 3) The notion that undecided voters tend to break against the incumbent; 4)”Scott Brown Effect” — voters in blue states use this election as a once-in-a-lifetime chance to send an R to Congress; 5) some likely voter models based on past voting histories are overrating the propensity of Democrats to vote.

One comment

We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/

Democrats are going down because they’ve been exposed as the tax and spend, power hungry, freedom taking, God forsaking lying vile vermin that they have always been but have managed to hide with the help of a dumbed down, spineless, and unquestioning mouthpiece media that no longer has the credibility to provide cover. Its just that simple.

Posted by coffeethom | Report as abusive