Why Paul Ryan could enter the 2012 presidential race

April 26, 2011

It’s not just Bill Kristol, gang. There’s desire at the highest ranks of the Republican Party, according to my reporting and sources, to see House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan seek the 2012 presidential nomination. Here’s why:

1) Since Democrats are determined to hang Ryan’s bold “Path to Prosperity” budget plan around the neck of every Republican running for office in 2012,  why not have its author and best salesman advocate for it directly vs. President Obama?

2) Ryan — to borrow a favorite Simon Cowell phrase — is “current.” He’s smack in the middle of budgetary and ideological clash between Democrats and Republicans and would immediately energize conservative and Tea Party activists.

3) Ryan is a strong national defense conservative, as well as pro-life.

4) Ryan is from a battleground state, Wisconsin, and a battleground region, the upper Great Lakes.

5) Ryan’s youth, vigor, likability and Jimmy Stewart persona — well, a wonky version of George Bailey — would be an immediate shorthand signal to voters that he’s a different kind of Republican. He also has a compelling life story to tell.

6) Obama suddenly and unexpectedly to Washington insiders looks beatable — by the right candidate.

The counter-argument here, of course, is that Ryan a) has repeatedly ruled out a 2012 run for family reasons (small kids) and b) may instead run for U.S. Senate in 2012. He also just turned 41 and may not want to go all in so quickly, especially against an incumbent president expected to try and raise $1 billion for re-election. But if Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, Newt Gingrich — maybe Mitch Daniels, too — fail to catch fire, expect the pressure on Ryan to run to rise.

5 comments

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I like Rep Ryan for VP, a lot.

@DanFarfan

Posted by DanFarfan | Report as abusive

[...] James Pethokoukis at Reuters has this article with some thoughts on why we may yet hope for Paul Ryan to enter the race despite his numerous denials. It’s not just Bill Kristol, gang. There’s desire at the highest ranks of the Republican Party, according to my reporting and sources, to see House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan seek the 2012 presidential nomination. Here’s why: [...]

I would vote for him on any ticket spot. The VP choice if Paul got the nod, could be someone with some ‘gravitas’ ha, that would unite the team. Newt, Paws, another Gov. Daniels. It would be a team which would show serious respect for American economic solutions and some pro-foreign policy ideas. Or even a Senator like Santorum or Sessions of Ala. We need bold differences.

Posted by phillyfanatic | Report as abusive

[...] Jimmy P gives Republicans the worst political advice ever (via Steve M): [...]

[...] people. Or, you could call in the ringer! And could that ringer be Paul Ryan? Over at Reuters, James Pethokoukis says, “There’s desire at the highest ranks of the Republican Party, according to my reporting [...]

[...] people. Or, you could call in the ringer! And could that ringer be Paul Ryan? Over at Reuters, James Pethokoukis says, “There’s desire at the highest ranks of the Republican Party, according to my reporting [...]

[...] people. Or, you could call in the ringer! And could that ringer be Paul Ryan? Over at Reuters, James Pethokoukis says, “There’s desire at the highest ranks of the Republican Party, according to my [...]

[...] President 2012: Why Rep Paul Ryan Could Enter the Presidential race – It’s not just Bill Kristol, gang. There’s desire at the highest ranks of the Republican Party, according to my reporting and sources, to see House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan seek the 2012 presidential nomination. Here’s why: [...]

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[...] Charles Krauthammer, Bill Kristol and Ross Douthat — have begun to call for Ryan to run, and speculation that such a scenario might actually be likely has picked up this [...]

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[...] Charles Krauthammer, Bill Kristol and Ross Douthat — have begun to call for Ryan to run, and speculation that such a scenario might actually be likely has picked up this week. If he were to jump in, Ryan [...]

[...] Charles Krauthammer, Bill Kristol and Ross Douthat — have begun to call for Ryan to run, and speculation that such a scenario might actually be likely has picked up this week. If he were to jump in, Ryan [...]

[...] people. Or, we could call in a ringer! And could that ringer be Paul Ryan? Over during Reuters, James Pethokoukis says, “There’s enterprise during a highestArticle source: [...]

Ryan can defend his plan as the VP candidate. I’m confident Biden won’t be Obama’s VP choice the second time around. So Ryan can make the VP debate solely about budget issues, and the GOP can win with that strategy.

Posted by bjjfiter | Report as abusive

[...] Paul Ryan: Specifically, tell me about Paul Ryan as a presidential candidate, now that there are murmurings that he may jump [...]

[...] Paul Ryan for prez? [...]

[...] and a favorite of the Tea Party. Herman Cain, former CEO of Godfathers Pizza more… Why Paul Ryan could enter the 2012 presidential race – Reuters Blogs (blog) – blogs.reuters.com 04/26/2011 USA TodayWhy Paul Ryan could enter the 2012 presidential [...]

[...] would come if Mr. Ryan himself were a nominee, a awaiting that regressive commentators are increasingly speculating about. we would not order out a probability that a claimant like Mr. Ryan could make a late entrance into [...]

[...] Ryan has surely heard the tap, tap, tap of destiny over the last week, which has seen more than a half dozen major media outlets ramp up speculation [...]

[...] Ryan has surely heard the tap, tap, tap of destiny over the last week, which has seen more than a half dozen major media outlets ramp up speculation [...]

[...] people. Or, you could call in the ringer! And could that ringer be Paul Ryan? Over at Reuters, James Pethokoukis says, “There’s desire at the highest ranks of the Republican Party, according to my [...]

If what’s going on in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio are any indication, Republicans are going to be wiped off the map in November 2012.

Posted by Yellow105 | Report as abusive

[...] Ryan has surely heard the tap, tap, tap of destiny over the last week, which has seen more than a half dozen major media outlets ramp up speculation [...]

Well, if the economy continues to tank, the GOP could put up a farmyard animal and still win. But assuming it’s competitive, Paul Ryan would be a really bad candidate. I happen to agree with him on most things, and I think he knows lots of good stuff about how to cut the budget. But having seen him on TV a few times, he needs at least five years and a lot of media training to be ready for prime time. Among his most obvious faults are – he talks too fast, he explains complicated issues in long complicated sentences – ie he doesn’t have the gift of explaining complicated things in a simple way, he tries to answer the question rather than get his own talking points across making him a gift for a hostile interviewer (which will be about 98% of them), he gets distracted onto side issues, he distracts himself with subclauses. His manner is eager and puppyish and he totally lacks gravitas. Obama is in reality an empty suit, but he can play a man with gravitas quite well (though the act is beginning to grate pretty badly.) In short, Ryan would look like a clever eager likeable kid against Obama and would be eaten for breakfast. He should stay where he is, sort out the budget process, which certainly requires his cleverness and wonkishness, and come back and stand for President in his fifties when he’s acquired some gravitas. In the meantime, I suggest that the GOP doesn’t put up a farmyard animal just in case it is competitive. I don’t agree with Romney as much as I agree with Ryan (or Perry) but with a GOP Senate and House (which is what there will be if there’s a GOP President) Romney will do just fine. He’ll blow with the wind, and the wind will be coming from Ryan’s direction.

Posted by LeeMoore | Report as abusive

[...] Jim Pethokoukis of Reuters lays out the case for a Ryan run: 1) Since Democrats are determined to hang Ryan's bold “Path to Prosperity” budget plan around the neck of every Republican running for office in 2012, why not have its author and best salesman advocate for it directly vs. President Obama? 2) Ryan – to borrow a favorite Simon ***a*** Cowell phrase – is “current.” He's smack in the middle of budgetary and ideological clash between Democrats and Republicans and would immediately energize conservative and Tea Party activists. 3) Ryan is a strong national defense conservative, as well as pro-life. 4) Ryan is from a battleground state, Wisconsin, and a battleground region, the upper Great Lakes. 5) Ryan's youth, vigor, likability and Jimmy Stewart persona – well, a wonky version of George Bailey – would be an immediate shorthand signal to voters that he's a different kind of Republican. He also has a compelling life story to tell. 6) Obama suddenly and unexpectedly to Washington insiders looks beatable – by the right candidate. [...]

[...] Jim Pethokoukis of Reuters lays out the case for a Ryan run: 1) Since Democrats are determined to hang Ryan’s bold “Path to Prosperity” budget plan around the neck of every Republican running for office in 2012, why not have its author and best salesman advocate for it directly vs. President Obama? 2) Ryan — to borrow a favorite Simon Cowell phrase — is “current.” He’s smack in the middle of budgetary and ideological clash between Democrats and Republicans and would immediately energize conservative and Tea Party activists. 3) Ryan is a strong national defense conservative, as well as pro-life. 4) Ryan is from a battleground state, Wisconsin, and a battleground region, the upper Great Lakes. 5) Ryan’s youth, vigor, likability and Jimmy Stewart persona — well, a wonky version of George Bailey — would be an immediate shorthand signal to voters that he’s a different kind of Republican. He also has a compelling life story to tell. 6) Obama suddenly and unexpectedly to Washington insiders looks beatable — by the right candidate. [...]

[...] Jim Pethokoukis of Reuters lays out the case for a Ryan run: 1) Since Democrats are determined to hang Ryan’s bold “Path to Prosperity” budget plan around the neck of every Republican running for office in 2012, why not have its author and best salesman advocate for it directly vs. President Obama? 2) Ryan — to borrow a favorite Simon Cowell phrase — is “current.” He’s smack in the middle of budgetary and ideological clash between Democrats and Republicans and would immediately energize conservative and Tea Party activists. 3) Ryan is a strong national defense conservative, as well as pro-life. 4) Ryan is from a battleground state, Wisconsin, and a battleground region, the upper Great Lakes. 5) Ryan’s youth, vigor, likability and Jimmy Stewart persona — well, a wonky version of George Bailey — would be an immediate shorthand signal to voters that he’s a different kind of Republican. He also has a compelling life story to tell. 6) Obama suddenly and unexpectedly to Washington insiders looks beatable — by the right candidate. [...]

[...] tell me about Paul Ryan as a presidential candidate, now that there are murmurings that he may jump [...]