James Pethokoukis

Politics and policy from inside Washington

Accepting a nuclear Iran

Oct 1, 2009 17:56 UTC

Tom Barnett gives a reality check:

There are very few secrets left in this world, but never any shortage of revelations! Major spy services have been interested in the Qom site for years, and as we know, anything the West knows, the East ends up knowing too. So if we knew, they knew, the Israelis knew, and–by extension–the rest of the Big Five knew, for whom was this a revelation? Why, the approving or disapproving public, of course. There is a lot of PR going on with this whole dynamic, and it impresses me as little as the diplomacy. It’s like the entire world needs to wrap its head around the reality that Iran’s getting nukes and there’s next to nothing that can be done about it, except for delaying it–possibly–for a bit with air strikes. So we’re moving through the anger and denial and heading toward the real bargaining and acceptance. Helen Kubler-Ross would be proud.

COMMENT

Iran should not arouse concern. Georgia is the most dangerous flashpoint in Russia’s tense relations with the West. The Bible says: “At the appointed time [the king of the north = Russia] will return back [will regain the influence, which it lost after the break-up of the Soviet Union] and come into the south [many indicate that this might be Georgia], but it will not be as the former [1921] or as the latter [2008]. For the dwellers of coastlands of Kittim [the West] will come against him, and he will be humbled, and will return.” (Daniel 11:29,30a) Then Iran will be humbled also. “But ships will come from the direction of Kittim, troubling Asshur [Russia] and troubling Eber [inhabiting on the other side the Euphrates].” (Numbers 24:24a, BBE)

At that time, peace will be taken from the earth and the “great sword” – nuclear sword – will be used. (Revelation 6:4) However, it will be neither the great tribulation nor “the end of the world” (Armageddon). As Jesus foretold, that will be “the beginning of birth pains”. (Mathew 24:7,8)

If the Heavens planned a full return of Russia (and much suggests this) the present economic crisis will deepen. Then also the European Union and NATO will not stands.

Iran election, America and globalization

Jun 15, 2009 14:27 UTC

Geopolitical strategist Tom Barnett weighs in on the Iran “election” (note, especially, his final point):

That is an impressive first-round win that means: 1) the nuke program goes ahead; and 2) the Supreme Leader is nowhere near ready to reform the economy, so no desire to deal externally. My hope had always been that this was a regime far enough along in understanding how screwed-up its economy is (USSR circa 84-86), but we are clearly still in the early 1980s/Brezhnevian clueless phase when belief in external enlargement of influence is held to be a strong counterweight to internal decline. I would expect Tehran to offer more of the same. Ahmadnejad, I don’t think, was promoted by the SL for any Nixon-like opening. Hence, Israel is highly incentivized to attack this year.

COMMENT

Good excerpt. It does seem to be likely, that if there isn’t a significant political moderation in Iran, Israel (with their newly crowned conservative gov) has every excuse to attack. Any sympathy or goodwill the Iranian leadership may have acquired recently, will certainly evaporate with the confirmation of the election of Ahmadinijad.

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