Shanghai Bureau Chief
Jason's Feed
Jul 30, 2010

China funds boost stock weighting on policy hopes

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – Chinese mutual funds have raised their recommended allocation to equities sharply, betting Beijing will ease tightening measures on signs of an economic slowdown, the latest monthly Reuters poll of fund managers shows.

The funds raised their average suggested weighting for stocks within a balanced portfolio to 80 percent from 74.4 percent last month, the first increase since February, according to the poll of nine China-based funds taken between July 23 and July 29.

Jul 30, 2010

Carlyle says to set up PE joint venture in Beijing

SHANGHAI, July 30 (Reuters) – U.S. private equity giant the
Carlyle Group [CYL.UL] said on Friday it had received 2.4
billion yuan ($354 million) in commitments for its Beijing-based
yuan-denominated fund, and would begin making investments in
large growth companies.

Carlyle has set up a joint venture with Beijing State-owned
Capital Operation and Management Center, the city’s biggest
government-owned company, to help manage the Beijing RMB Fund,
which aims to raise 5 billion yuan ($739 million), according to
a statement.

Jul 16, 2010

Shanghai copper edges up; trapped in tight range

SHANGHAI, July 16 (Reuters) – Shanghai copper edged up on
Friday while London prices slipped, as concerns over the
prospects for the global economy continued to dominate
sentiment, with prices expected to remain stuck in tight
ranges. China will stick with policies that cooled economic growth last quarter and will keep faith with the euro despite Europe's debt problems, China's Premier Wen Jiabao said. [ID:nTOE66F038] New U.S. claims for jobless aid tumbled to a near two-year low last week, but a modest gain in industrial output and a third monthly drop in wholesale prices in June confirmed a slackening in the economy's recovery. [ID:nN15208925] "The market is not very enthusiastic about these data," said a Shanghai-based trader. "We are likely to see prices move in a narrow range for a while in the absence of earth-shattering news." Shanghai's benchmark third-month copper futures contract SCFc3 closed up 0.5 percent to 53,120 yuan a tonne, down 1.1 percent from a week earlier. Prices have been moving in a range of barely 1,400 yuan in the past week. Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3 edged down $10 to $6,670 by 0701 GMT, on course for a 1.3-percent weekly loss. Volumes are thin at the LME, with a total of just above 1,300 lots in the Asian trading hours, or roughly two thirds of the volume on a typical day. "It is quiet, volumes are extremely low. Both our commodity brokers as well as our mining analysts believe that this is only the calm before the storm," said MF Global in a research note on fund flows in the mining industry. "Fund flows still don't look supportive of commodity prices, while volumes tend to be lower before big moves." "If we take copper as an example then a move below $6,400 could trigger a sharp adjustment to $6,000 or below... the catalyst seems unclear, but it is likely to be macro and could well relate to the euro again." Shanghai copper stood at a premium of 242 yuan over LME copper. For a graphic of the Shanghai-LME arbitrage, click: here Copper stocks in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose by 2 percent from a week earlier to 120,238 tonnes, the exchange said on Friday.[ID:nBJD000015] "There is no clear direction for metals in the short term. Investors are a bit lost, not sure where the economy is going," said Li Rong, an analyst at Great Wall Futures, adding that Shanghai copper is likely to move in a range of 52,000 yuan to 54,000 yuan a tonne. But Li said trading is still active in the Shanghai market, as day traders seek chances in the less volatile price moves. More than 80 percent of the volume is day trading, he estimated. The market is eyeing the U.S. consumer price reading for June and the Reuters-University of Michigan business sentiment survey for July, due later in the day, for further cues on the health of the world's largest economy. LME copper MCU3=LX is expected to remain trendless for one more trading session, but with a likelihood to return to the wave "a" low at $6,560 per tonne to complete a downward wave "c", according to Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. [TECH/C] For a graphic showing the 24-hour copper technical outlook: here OZ Minerals (OZL.AX: Quote, Profile, Research), Australia's third-largest copper concentrates supplier, plans to buy assets that could more than double its copper concentrate production as output at its existing mines declines, and to cash in on current demand for the commodity. [ID:nSGE66E0MH] Base metals prices at 0701 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 YTD pct chg LME Cu 6670.00 -10.00 -0.15 7375.00 -9.56 SHFE Cu* 53120.00 250.00 +0.47 59900.00 -11.32 LME Alum 2025.00 7.00 +0.35 2230.00 -9.19 SHFE Alum* 15010.00 115.00 +0.77 17160.00 -12.53 COMEX Cu** 300.50 0.00 +0.00 332.75 -9.69 LME Zinc 1836.00 26.00 +1.44 2560.00 -28.28 SHFE Zinc 15230.00 105.00 +0.69 21195.00 -28.14 LME Nickel 19320.00 -80.00 -0.41 18525.00 4.29 LME Lead 1809.00 11.00 +0.61 2432.00 -25.62 LME Tin 18098.00 148.00 +0.82 16950.00 6.77 LME/Shanghai arb^ -242 Dollar/yuan 6.7759 \ 6.7767 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE third month (Editing by Himani Sarkar)

Jul 15, 2010

Subdued AgBank debut dampens China fundraising outlook

SHANGHAI, July 15 (Reuters) – Agricultural Bank of China’s
(601288.SS: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) record $22 billion IPO made a lacklustre debut in
Shanghai, underscoring the challenges ahead for China’s markets
as other big banks look to tap investors for billions of
dollars.

AgBank’s listing completes its transformation from
technical insolvency to a sprawling giant with assets of close
to $1.4 trillion as of March and a customer base of 320
million, larger than the population of the United States.

Jul 15, 2010

Subdued AgBank debut casts doubt over fundraisings

SHANGHAI, July 15 (Reuters) – The lacklustre Shanghai debut
of Agricultural Bank of China’s (601288.SS: Quote, Profile, Research) $22 billion IPO
underscores the challenges ahead for China’s markets, as other
big banks look to tap investors for billions of dollars in
funds.

AgBank’s debut caps off years of planning and preparation,
completing its transformation from technical insolvency to a
sprawling giant with assets of around $1.2 trillion and a
customer base of 320 million — larger than the population of
the United States.

Jul 15, 2010

AgBank disappoints with lacklustre Shanghai debut

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – Agricultural Bank of China rose only marginally in the first minutes of its historic debut in Shanghai on Thursday, underscoring the difficult time that may lie ahead for a market that will be asked to absorb more big fundraisings by banks.

AgBank’s debut caps off years of planning and preparation, completing its transformation from technical insolvency to a sprawling giant with assets of around $1.2 trillion and a customer base of 320 million — larger than the population of the United States.

Jul 5, 2010

AgBank: Mkt can handle Shanghai IPO; narrows HK price

SHANGHAI, July 5 (Reuters) – Agricultural Bank of China
[ABC.UL] said on Monday the Shanghai portion of its mega
initial public offering will not disrupt local markets as it
has already attracted subscriptions from big insurers and other
major companies.

AgBank’s roughly $20 billion Hong Kong-Shanghai IPO has
hung over the Shanghai stock market in past weeks, as investors
worry that an influx of additional shares could keep the
overall market — one of the world’s worst performers this year
— from having a chance of reviving any time soon. [.SS]

Jul 5, 2010

AgBank: Shanghai IPO not too big for market

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – Agricultural Bank of China ABC.UL said on Monday that it had attracted subscriptions from big insurers and other major companies for the Shanghai portion of its initial public offering, helping to ensure that the issuance would not cause disruptions to local markets.

AgBank’s roughly $20 billion Hong Kong-Shanghai IPO has hung over the Shanghai stock market in past weeks, as investors worry that an influx of additional shares could keep the overall market — one of the world’s worst performers this year — from having a chance of reviving any time soon. .SS

Jun 23, 2010

China punctures yuan hopes, only glacial gains seen

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s yuan inched higher on Wednesday, settling down after the biggest swings since 2005 and driving home the message that Beijing’s promise of currency flexibility will not produce the rapid gains its trading partners would like.

Whatever its daily gyrations, analysts suspect the yuan will be allowed to rise over time but likely at too slow a pace to narrow China’s huge trade surplus, or America’s deep deficit.

Jun 23, 2010

China punctures yuan hopes

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s yuan inched higher on Wednesday, settling down after the biggest swings since 2005 and driving home the message that Beijing’s promise of currency flexibility will not produce the rapid gains its trading partners would like.

Whatever its daily gyrations, analysts suspect the yuan will be allowed to rise over time but likely at too slow a pace to narrow China’s huge trade surplus, or America’s deep deficit.

    • About Jason

      "Jason leads Reuters' coverage of China's financial markets from Shanghai. Prior to moving there at the start of 2010, he reported on the Chinese economy and policy from Beijing, where he lived for a decade."
      Joined Reuters:
      2005
      Languages:
      Mandarin, German
    • Follow Jason