Bureau Chief, UK and Ireland
Jodie's Feed
May 7, 2010

Conservatives seen largest party but no majority

LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s opposition Conservatives were forecast on Friday to be the largest party after the closest election in three decades, but falling short of a clear majority in parliament, leaving it uncertain who will eventually run the country.

With a quarter of results reported, Conservative leader David Cameron said it was clear the ruling Labour party “had lost the mandate to govern.”

May 4, 2010

Tories could secure tiny majority

LONDON (Reuters) – The Conservative Party is gaining ground in pivotal parliamentary seats and could secure a narrow but outright win in Thursday’s election, a poll published on Monday showed.

The final Reuters/Ipsos MORI marginals poll, which surveys voters living in the kind of constituencies held by the Labour Party that the Conservatives need to win for a majority, shows support for the parties in these seats is neck and neck.

May 3, 2010

UK Conservatives could secure tiny majority: poll

LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s opposition Conservative party is gaining ground in pivotal parliamentary seats and could secure a narrow but outright win in Thursday’s general election, a poll published on Monday showed.

The final Reuters/Ipsos MORI marginals poll, which surveys voters living in the kind of constituencies held by the ruling Labour party that the Conservatives need to win for a majority, shows support for the parties in these seats is neck and neck.

May 3, 2010

Poll shows conservatives could secure tiny majority

LONDON (Reuters) – The Conservative party is gaining ground in pivotal parliamentary seats and could secure a narrow but outright win in Thursday’s general election, a poll published on Monday showed.

The final Reuters/Ipsos MORI marginals poll, which surveys voters living in the kind of constituencies held by the Labour party that the Conservatives need to win for a majority, shows support for the parties in these seats is neck and neck.

May 3, 2010

Poll shows late surge for Conservatives in swing seats

LONDON (Reuters) – The Conservatives are making a late surge in key swing seats, suggesting it could be on course for a narrow but outright win in Thursday’s parliamentary election, a poll published on Monday showed.

The final Reuters/Ipsos MORI marginals poll, which surveys voters living in the kind of constituencies held by the ruling Labour party that the Conservatives need to win for a majority, shows support for the parties in these seats is neck and neck.

May 3, 2010

Late surge for UK Conservatives in swing seats: poll

LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s opposition Conservatives are making a late surge in key swing seats, suggesting it could be on course for a narrow but outright win in Thursday’s parliamentary election, a poll published on Monday showed.

The final Reuters/Ipsos MORI marginals poll, which surveys voters living in the kind of constituencies held by the ruling Labour party that the Conservatives need to win for a majority, shows support for the parties in these seats is neck and neck.

Apr 30, 2010
via UK News

Anything can happen in UK election – and probably will

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We hosted a fascinating debate this morning on the implications of a hung parliament for business and markets. British Banking Association Chief Executive Angela Knight, a former Conservative MP; Jefferies Chief Financial Economist David Owen; parliamentary expert Philip Cowley; and pollster Bobby Duffy of Ipsos MORI were the panellists and the debate covered everything from the possibility of Prime Minister Clegg (Knight’s verdict: “the sort of person you’d like your daughter to bring home to marry, but you really don’t want him running the country”) to fears over the double whammy on May 7 of an unclear result and no resolution over a Greece deal.

The key message was not reassuring for voters and markets: anything can happen. As our marginals poll earlier this week showed, nearly half of all voters in key seats (as nationally) have not yet made up their mind definitively about who to vote for in the general election on May 6 — that’s the double the normal level at this stage of the campaign. The upshot is that you could see a major shift in opinion polls in the final week’s campaigning.

Apr 29, 2010

Half of UK swing seat voters may change minds: poll

LONDON (Reuters) – Nearly half of voters in UK swing seats may still change their minds about who to vote for in next week’s election, an opinion poll published on Thursday showed, suggesting the outcome is still wide open.

The latest Reuters/Ipsos MORI poll of “marginal seats,” ones held by ruling Labour that the opposition Conservatives need to win to triumph at national level, suggests no party will win an overall parliamentary majority on May 6.

Apr 22, 2010

Lib Dems surge in decisive British election seats: poll

LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s Liberal Democrats have doubled their projected vote share in Labour-held marginal constituencies but the swing comes mainly from voters who were previously not sure they would vote, a poll showed on Thursday.

The latest Reuters/Ipsos MORI poll indicates that although support for the Labour government and main opposition Conservatives has fallen in these constituencies — ones the Conservatives must win to be sure of outright victory in the May 6 election — their relative positions are unchanged since the previous survey on April 8.

Apr 21, 2010
via UK News

I’m a voter in a safe seat, and feeling unloved

For the first time in my voting career, I am living in a safe seat — one where there’s precious little prospect of the constituency changing hands. And as someone who loves the cut and thrust of politics, of hearing ideas exchanged and debated, I can’t say it’s the best place to be.

For weeks now I have been hearing and writing about voters living in marginal constituencies being bombarded with leaflets and phone calls from eager parties. Hopeful parliamentary candidates appear on doorsteps; high streets and back roads are festooned with candidates’ posters; and party leaders even pop up in the front rooms and office canteens.

    • About Jodie

      "Based in London, I manage our team of Reuters' text journalists and photographers here and in Dublin - covering everything from company news and economics to sport and culture. I have been with Reuters for 10 years, including three years spent covering equities in Johannesburg."
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