LONDON (Reuters) – British general elections almost always deliver decisive outcomes: since 1929 there has been only one election that delivered a ‘hung parliament’ where no party had a majority — and that was more than 30 years ago.
But a hung parliament and a coalition or minority government now looks inevitable and if it doesn’t happen this election, it will in the next decade. Electoral reform will swiftly follow.
LONDON (Reuters) – A surge in popularity for Britain’s third largest political party is hurting the chances of outright victory for both of its bigger rivals — but the opposition Conservatives have most to fear.
Center-left Labor and the center-right Conservatives have dominated British politics for the past 65 years, aided by an electoral system that uses ‘first past the post voting’ in 650 constituencies to carve up parliament.
Election day is fast approaching and with the poll gap narrowing between the Conservatives and Labour, there is a very real probability that the UK will end up with a hung parliament. For the first time since 1974, the UK may be left without clear political leadership.
- What will this really mean for British business?
- How will the markets and sterling react?
- Will a hung parliament scare off international investors?
- Could the economy survive a second general election within a year?
Reading Wendy Cope’s poem “Lonely Hearts” last night made me think of the people who, apparently, hold the key to this election.
I’ve lost count of the number of such groups that have been identified over the past few weeks but, depending on what report you read, you can take your pick from Motorway Man, or Middle England Ms, Mr & Mrs Grey Vote… to name just a few.
LONDON, April 8 (Reuters) – Voters in constituencies that
could determine the outcome of Britain’s election want a change
of prime minister but many are unconvinced opposition leader
David Cameron has what it takes, according to a poll
commissioned by Reuters.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos MORI poll of marginal seats –
constituencies narrowly held by the ruling Labour party — shows
that voters rate Labour leader Gordon Brown more highly than
Cameron on almost all leadership measures.
Thanks goodness for that. After months of phoney battles over who has the better plan for cutting Britain’s deficit (or indeed any plan), Gordon Brown will finally set the election date today.
The news has unleashed the usual cliches: “Brown to raise flag on May 6 poll race” said the Financial Times, “Let the race begin” called The Times, while The Sun pictured Brown after a weekend jog with the headline: “Phew! Exhausted Brown finally calls election. Cameron races to 10-point poll lead.”
Our inaugural Ipsos MORI poll on voting intention in marginal constituencies goes out today.
It shows the Conservatives are actually doing pretty well in Labour-led constituencies. The poll suggests a five percent swing to the opposition from Labour compared to the 2005 election. That’s better than the Tories current showing at national level, which is pointing to a four percent swing.
LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s opposition Conservatives still lag Labour in crucial marginal constituencies they must win to secure a clearcut election victory, according to a poll commissioned by Reuters.
The Ipsos MORI poll shows the Conservatives have cut Labour’s lead in these constituencies, but the swing is not sufficient to guarantee them government after an election expected on May 6. It reinforces the prospect raised in most recent surveys of an inconclusive outcome.
You know an election campaign is in full swing the world over when pictures start appearing of politicians kissing babies. But with a general election now just two months away, UK politicians seem to be have found new targets for their displays of affection: each other.
It started with Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling. After stories that the Prime Minister and his Chancellor had fallen out with one another over an interview in which Darling accused Brown aides of having “unleashed the forces of hell” at him, the two popped up at the weekly Prime Minister’s questions almost arm in arm.