John's Feed
Oct 23, 2014
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China’s capital defences have sprung a major leak

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China’s strict capital controls are designed to shield the economy from flighty foreign money. In practice, they haven’t stopped a tremendous build up of fickle cash from abroad. There’s enough to create a serious nuisance if it starts to flow the other way.

Oct 16, 2014
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Real estate rescue may not help China’s developers

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

If you cheapen it, they will come. China’s large real estate companies are going all-out to shift their properties, aided by recent reductions in mortgage rates and the relaxation of local restrictions on who can buy. When developers sell more for less, however, there is grief ahead.

Oct 15, 2014
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CICC loses a princeling, gains investment appeal

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

To lose a princeling looks careless, but no worse. That should reassure backers of China International Capital Corp, the Chinese investment bank whose well-connected chief executive has just resigned.

Oct 13, 2014
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China’s Agile Property only the worst of the best

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Agile Property is crumbling. The Chinese real estate developer needs urgent financial assistance after the authorities detained its chairman and it had to cancel a $360 million rights issue. The shares fell by as much as 30 percent on Oct. 13. Yet in China’s property sector, it is just the worst of the best.

Oct 1, 2014
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Hong Kong harmony hits Beijing’s worst fears

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Protests often start out peaceful, then fizzle out, or descend into chaos. So far, Hong Kong is turning that playbook on its head. Demonstrators whose demands for democratic elections were met with tear gas and batons on Sept. 29 had, by the next day, settled into a kind of happy, harmonious state. For the authorities in Beijing, that’s potentially an even more nerve-jangling state of affairs.

Sep 30, 2014
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China house prices on brink of pessimism spiral

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

China is rare in many ways, but its housing market is just as dependent on psychology as everywhere else. After years of gains, prices are now falling in most Chinese major cities.  When negative thinking sets in, it’s hard to escape the pessimism spiral.

Sep 26, 2014
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World should steel for peak China demand

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By John Foley

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

Markets should steel for peak China demand. Consumption of the metal in the People’s Republic fell for the first time this century in August, an industry official said on Sept. 25. If the decline proves anything more than temporary, it could throw global markets off kilter.

Sep 23, 2014
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China rich list misses most valuable asset: status

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

What’s the most precious asset for China’s plutocrats? Not diamonds, or prime real estate, or even a stake in a richly valued internet company. The currency that really matters is status. That’s something rankings like the new Hurun Report of China’s richest individuals struggle to measure.

Sep 18, 2014
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China has not one property problem, but many

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist.  The opinions expressed are his own.

China’s real estate market is big enough that it can have not one property problem but many. A Breakingviews ranking of the forty biggest cities, according to different kinds of risks, shows there are huge differences between local markets. It’s not much consolation, though. A conflagration of regional problems could be just as bad as one big national one.

Sep 17, 2014
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China stealth stimulus may slip down back of sofa

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By John Foley 

The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.

As China’s economy slows, its authorities must think ever faster. A 500 billion yuan ($81 billion) injection of central bank funds into the country’s biggest five lenders – reported by online media group Sina on Sept. 17 – is unusual and symbolic. But in figurative terms it may just slip down the back of the sofa.